The open seat in Oklahoma's 1st congressional district, created after incumbent Republican Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid following Markwayne Mullin's appointment as secretary of homeland security, underpins the strong Republican positioning in this race. The district's consistent partisan lean and history of double-digit GOP margins have shaped trader assessments, with multiple Republicans—including Kim David, Jackson Lahmeyer, and Mark Tedford—competing in the June 16 primary. Democratic nominee John Croisant advanced unopposed after the party's primary was canceled, leaving limited opposition in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Scheduled events such as the primary outcome and November 3 general election remain the key near-term catalysts that could influence further adjustments in implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,853 거래량
$11,853 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
$11,853 거래량
$11,853 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$6,313 거래량
87%
Democratic Party
$5,540 거래량
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Oklahoma's 1st congressional district, created after incumbent Republican Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid following Markwayne Mullin's appointment as secretary of homeland security, underpins the strong Republican positioning in this race. The district's consistent partisan lean and history of double-digit GOP margins have shaped trader assessments, with multiple Republicans—including Kim David, Jackson Lahmeyer, and Mark Tedford—competing in the June 16 primary. Democratic nominee John Croisant advanced unopposed after the party's primary was canceled, leaving limited opposition in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Scheduled events such as the primary outcome and November 3 general election remain the key near-term catalysts that could influence further adjustments in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$11,853종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Oklahoma's 1st congressional district, created after incumbent Republican Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid following Markwayne Mullin's appointment as secretary of homeland security, underpins the strong Republican positioning in this race. The district's consistent partisan lean and history of double-digit GOP margins have shaped trader assessments, with multiple Republicans—including Kim David, Jackson Lahmeyer, and Mark Tedford—competing in the June 16 primary. Democratic nominee John Croisant advanced unopposed after the party's primary was canceled, leaving limited opposition in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Scheduled events such as the primary outcome and November 3 general election remain the key near-term catalysts that could influence further adjustments in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,853종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Oklahoma's 1st congressional district, created after incumbent Republican Kevin Hern launched a Senate bid following Markwayne Mullin's appointment as secretary of homeland security, underpins the strong Republican positioning in this race. The district's consistent partisan lean and history of double-digit GOP margins have shaped trader assessments, with multiple Republicans—including Kim David, Jackson Lahmeyer, and Mark Tedford—competing in the June 16 primary. Democratic nominee John Croisant advanced unopposed after the party's primary was canceled, leaving limited opposition in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Scheduled events such as the primary outcome and November 3 general election remain the key near-term catalysts that could influence further adjustments in implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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