North Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+18 partisan voting index and the incumbent Republican's 39-point victory margin in 2024. Julie Fedorchak's re-election bid, facing a primary challenge from Alex Balazs, aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican. Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer has limited fundraising and faces structural barriers in a state without competitive swing dynamics. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the district's consistent electoral history and early-cycle positioning ahead of the June primaries and November general election. Unforeseen national shifts, health events, or primary surprises remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$39,031 거래량
$39,031 거래량
공화당
96%
민주당
5%
$39,031 거래량
$39,031 거래량
공화당
96%
민주당
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+18 partisan voting index and the incumbent Republican's 39-point victory margin in 2024. Julie Fedorchak's re-election bid, facing a primary challenge from Alex Balazs, aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican. Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer has limited fundraising and faces structural barriers in a state without competitive swing dynamics. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the district's consistent electoral history and early-cycle positioning ahead of the June primaries and November general election. Unforeseen national shifts, health events, or primary surprises remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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