Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured a strong primary victory in early May, reinforcing the Ohio 6th district’s consistent Republican lean and positioning him for a likely general-election win on November 3. The district’s R+16 partisan voting index and Rulli’s 2024 margin of over 30 points have shaped trader consensus around an 86 percent probability for the Republican nominee. With Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerging from a crowded primary field, limited fundraising and structural disadvantages have kept Democratic odds near 7.5 percent. Recent polling trends and historical performance in this Appalachian and Mahoning Valley district continue to anchor expectations, though the six-month timeline to Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by turnout or national conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$22,319 거래량
$22,319 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
10%
$22,319 거래량
$22,319 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$11,514 거래량
86%
Democratic Party
$10,806 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured a strong primary victory in early May, reinforcing the Ohio 6th district’s consistent Republican lean and positioning him for a likely general-election win on November 3. The district’s R+16 partisan voting index and Rulli’s 2024 margin of over 30 points have shaped trader consensus around an 86 percent probability for the Republican nominee. With Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerging from a crowded primary field, limited fundraising and structural disadvantages have kept Democratic odds near 7.5 percent. Recent polling trends and historical performance in this Appalachian and Mahoning Valley district continue to anchor expectations, though the six-month timeline to Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$22,319종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured a strong primary victory in early May, reinforcing the Ohio 6th district’s consistent Republican lean and positioning him for a likely general-election win on November 3. The district’s R+16 partisan voting index and Rulli’s 2024 margin of over 30 points have shaped trader consensus around an 86 percent probability for the Republican nominee. With Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerging from a crowded primary field, limited fundraising and structural disadvantages have kept Democratic odds near 7.5 percent. Recent polling trends and historical performance in this Appalachian and Mahoning Valley district continue to anchor expectations, though the six-month timeline to Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$22,319종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured a strong primary victory in early May, reinforcing the Ohio 6th district’s consistent Republican lean and positioning him for a likely general-election win on November 3. The district’s R+16 partisan voting index and Rulli’s 2024 margin of over 30 points have shaped trader consensus around an 86 percent probability for the Republican nominee. With Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerging from a crowded primary field, limited fundraising and structural disadvantages have kept Democratic odds near 7.5 percent. Recent polling trends and historical performance in this Appalachian and Mahoning Valley district continue to anchor expectations, though the six-month timeline to Election Day leaves room for shifts driven by turnout or national conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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