Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan secured his party's nomination with nearly 88 percent in the March 2026 primary for North Carolina's 10th congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Ashley Bell who prevailed in a crowded field. The district's partisan voting index and consistent historical support for Republican candidates underpin the strong trader preference for the Republican outcome in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race as solidly Republican, reflecting the seat's structural advantage and Harrigan's established position since winning in 2024. Limited recent developments have left probabilities largely unchanged, with the upcoming November 3 vote and any late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions remaining the primary variables that could influence final results.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
12%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,169 거래량
82%
Democratic Party
$2,567 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan secured his party's nomination with nearly 88 percent in the March 2026 primary for North Carolina's 10th congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Ashley Bell who prevailed in a crowded field. The district's partisan voting index and consistent historical support for Republican candidates underpin the strong trader preference for the Republican outcome in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race as solidly Republican, reflecting the seat's structural advantage and Harrigan's established position since winning in 2024. Limited recent developments have left probabilities largely unchanged, with the upcoming November 3 vote and any late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions remaining the primary variables that could influence final results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$4,736종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan secured his party's nomination with nearly 88 percent in the March 2026 primary for North Carolina's 10th congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Ashley Bell who prevailed in a crowded field. The district's partisan voting index and consistent historical support for Republican candidates underpin the strong trader preference for the Republican outcome in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race as solidly Republican, reflecting the seat's structural advantage and Harrigan's established position since winning in 2024. Limited recent developments have left probabilities largely unchanged, with the upcoming November 3 vote and any late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions remaining the primary variables that could influence final results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$4,736종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan secured his party's nomination with nearly 88 percent in the March 2026 primary for North Carolina's 10th congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Ashley Bell who prevailed in a crowded field. The district's partisan voting index and consistent historical support for Republican candidates underpin the strong trader preference for the Republican outcome in the November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race as solidly Republican, reflecting the seat's structural advantage and Harrigan's established position since winning in 2024. Limited recent developments have left probabilities largely unchanged, with the upcoming November 3 vote and any late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions remaining the primary variables that could influence final results.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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