Incumbent Brad Schneider secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 10th congressional district with roughly 79 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, facing only token opposition. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, rooted in suburban Lake and Cook County precincts, combined with Schneider’s established fundraising and name recognition, has produced a commanding trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November general election. Republican nominee Carl Lambrecht advances from an uncontested primary but confronts structural headwinds typical of the seat. Late-cycle developments such as unexpected national economic shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary variables that could still narrow the margin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,830 거래량
$15,830 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$15,830 거래량
$15,830 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$14,517 거래량
95%
Republican Party
$1,313 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brad Schneider secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 10th congressional district with roughly 79 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, facing only token opposition. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, rooted in suburban Lake and Cook County precincts, combined with Schneider’s established fundraising and name recognition, has produced a commanding trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November general election. Republican nominee Carl Lambrecht advances from an uncontested primary but confronts structural headwinds typical of the seat. Late-cycle developments such as unexpected national economic shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary variables that could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$15,830종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brad Schneider secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 10th congressional district with roughly 79 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, facing only token opposition. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, rooted in suburban Lake and Cook County precincts, combined with Schneider’s established fundraising and name recognition, has produced a commanding trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November general election. Republican nominee Carl Lambrecht advances from an uncontested primary but confronts structural headwinds typical of the seat. Late-cycle developments such as unexpected national economic shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary variables that could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,830종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Brad Schneider secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 10th congressional district with roughly 79 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, facing only token opposition. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, rooted in suburban Lake and Cook County precincts, combined with Schneider’s established fundraising and name recognition, has produced a commanding trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail in the November general election. Republican nominee Carl Lambrecht advances from an uncontested primary but confronts structural headwinds typical of the seat. Late-cycle developments such as unexpected national economic shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary variables that could still narrow the margin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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