The closely contested OH-09 race remains tight due to the rematch between long-serving Democratic incumbent Marcy Kaptur and Republican challenger Derek Merrin, who lost by under 2,400 votes in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district four points toward Republicans, creating a more favorable map for the GOP nominee who won his May 5 primary decisively. Kaptur ran unopposed on the Democratic side and maintains a substantial fundraising lead, bolstering her position in a seat with mixed partisan indicators. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, reflecting uncertainty over whether redistricting gains or the incumbent's established support will prove decisive in November. Trader consensus prices this balance near even, with potential movement from future polling, campaign spending, or national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,487 거래량
$20,487 거래량
2026.11.04
민주당
58%
공화당
47%
$20,487 거래량
$20,487 거래량
2026.11.04
민주당
$417 거래량
58%
공화당
$20,071 거래량
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The closely contested OH-09 race remains tight due to the rematch between long-serving Democratic incumbent Marcy Kaptur and Republican challenger Derek Merrin, who lost by under 2,400 votes in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district four points toward Republicans, creating a more favorable map for the GOP nominee who won his May 5 primary decisively. Kaptur ran unopposed on the Democratic side and maintains a substantial fundraising lead, bolstering her position in a seat with mixed partisan indicators. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, reflecting uncertainty over whether redistricting gains or the incumbent's established support will prove decisive in November. Trader consensus prices this balance near even, with potential movement from future polling, campaign spending, or national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
거래량
$20,487종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The closely contested OH-09 race remains tight due to the rematch between long-serving Democratic incumbent Marcy Kaptur and Republican challenger Derek Merrin, who lost by under 2,400 votes in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district four points toward Republicans, creating a more favorable map for the GOP nominee who won his May 5 primary decisively. Kaptur ran unopposed on the Democratic side and maintains a substantial fundraising lead, bolstering her position in a seat with mixed partisan indicators. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, reflecting uncertainty over whether redistricting gains or the incumbent's established support will prove decisive in November. Trader consensus prices this balance near even, with potential movement from future polling, campaign spending, or national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$20,487종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely contested OH-09 race remains tight due to the rematch between long-serving Democratic incumbent Marcy Kaptur and Republican challenger Derek Merrin, who lost by under 2,400 votes in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district four points toward Republicans, creating a more favorable map for the GOP nominee who won his May 5 primary decisively. Kaptur ran unopposed on the Democratic side and maintains a substantial fundraising lead, bolstering her position in a seat with mixed partisan indicators. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, reflecting uncertainty over whether redistricting gains or the incumbent's established support will prove decisive in November. Trader consensus prices this balance near even, with potential movement from future polling, campaign spending, or national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문