The Ohio 9th congressional district general election remains closely contested, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a slim edge over the Republican challenger. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district's partisan balance toward Republicans after the incumbent Democrat won a narrow 2024 rematch by fewer than 2,500 votes, creating a Toss-up or Lean Republican rating from major forecasters. Derek Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May 5 primary, setting up a November 3 rematch against long-serving Democrat Marcy Kaptur in a Toledo-area district blending urban and rural voters. Limited early general election polling and fundraising patterns, combined with historical incumbent advantages and turnout variables in this swing district, sustain the balanced probabilities ahead of the fall campaign.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,477 거래량
$20,477 거래량
2026.11.04
민주당
52%
공화당
48%
$20,477 거래량
$20,477 거래량
2026.11.04
민주당
$411 거래량
52%
공화당
$20,065 거래량
48%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Ohio 9th congressional district general election remains closely contested, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a slim edge over the Republican challenger. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district's partisan balance toward Republicans after the incumbent Democrat won a narrow 2024 rematch by fewer than 2,500 votes, creating a Toss-up or Lean Republican rating from major forecasters. Derek Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May 5 primary, setting up a November 3 rematch against long-serving Democrat Marcy Kaptur in a Toledo-area district blending urban and rural voters. Limited early general election polling and fundraising patterns, combined with historical incumbent advantages and turnout variables in this swing district, sustain the balanced probabilities ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
거래량
$20,477종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Ohio 9th congressional district general election remains closely contested, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a slim edge over the Republican challenger. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district's partisan balance toward Republicans after the incumbent Democrat won a narrow 2024 rematch by fewer than 2,500 votes, creating a Toss-up or Lean Republican rating from major forecasters. Derek Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May 5 primary, setting up a November 3 rematch against long-serving Democrat Marcy Kaptur in a Toledo-area district blending urban and rural voters. Limited early general election polling and fundraising patterns, combined with historical incumbent advantages and turnout variables in this swing district, sustain the balanced probabilities ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$20,477종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Ohio 9th congressional district general election remains closely contested, with traders assigning the Democratic nominee a slim edge over the Republican challenger. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district's partisan balance toward Republicans after the incumbent Democrat won a narrow 2024 rematch by fewer than 2,500 votes, creating a Toss-up or Lean Republican rating from major forecasters. Derek Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May 5 primary, setting up a November 3 rematch against long-serving Democrat Marcy Kaptur in a Toledo-area district blending urban and rural voters. Limited early general election polling and fundraising patterns, combined with historical incumbent advantages and turnout variables in this swing district, sustain the balanced probabilities ahead of the fall campaign.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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