Missouri's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+29 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election outcome. Analyst ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primary between incumbent Wesley Bell and challenger Cori Bush will determine the nominee but does not alter the general election landscape, where Republican candidates have historically drawn under 20 percent. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages and limited recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee or unexpected court-ordered redistricting changes remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$23,810 거래량
$23,810 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
4%
$23,810 거래량
$23,810 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$13,661 거래량
93%
공화당
$10,149 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+29 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election outcome. Analyst ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primary between incumbent Wesley Bell and challenger Cori Bush will determine the nominee but does not alter the general election landscape, where Republican candidates have historically drawn under 20 percent. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages and limited recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee or unexpected court-ordered redistricting changes remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$23,810종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+29 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election outcome. Analyst ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primary between incumbent Wesley Bell and challenger Cori Bush will determine the nominee but does not alter the general election landscape, where Republican candidates have historically drawn under 20 percent. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages and limited recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee or unexpected court-ordered redistricting changes remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$23,810종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+29 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election outcome. Analyst ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primary between incumbent Wesley Bell and challenger Cori Bush will determine the nominee but does not alter the general election landscape, where Republican candidates have historically drawn under 20 percent. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages and limited recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee or unexpected court-ordered redistricting changes remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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