Nikki Budzinski’s decisive primary victory and the Illinois 13th’s structural Democratic tilt anchor trader expectations that the party will retain the seat in November. The district, drawn to favor Democrats through its mix of Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and St. Louis suburbs, delivered Budzinski comfortable margins in prior cycles, and Cook Political Report classifies the race as Solid Democratic. Her 76-to-24 percent primary win over challenger Dylan Blaha underscored limited intraparty risk, while Republican nominee Jeff Wilson’s March primary victory sets up a general-election contest with few visible momentum shifts since. Late national swings, turnout surprises, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,316 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$4,052 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nikki Budzinski’s decisive primary victory and the Illinois 13th’s structural Democratic tilt anchor trader expectations that the party will retain the seat in November. The district, drawn to favor Democrats through its mix of Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and St. Louis suburbs, delivered Budzinski comfortable margins in prior cycles, and Cook Political Report classifies the race as Solid Democratic. Her 76-to-24 percent primary win over challenger Dylan Blaha underscored limited intraparty risk, while Republican nominee Jeff Wilson’s March primary victory sets up a general-election contest with few visible momentum shifts since. Late national swings, turnout surprises, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$7,369종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nikki Budzinski’s decisive primary victory and the Illinois 13th’s structural Democratic tilt anchor trader expectations that the party will retain the seat in November. The district, drawn to favor Democrats through its mix of Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and St. Louis suburbs, delivered Budzinski comfortable margins in prior cycles, and Cook Political Report classifies the race as Solid Democratic. Her 76-to-24 percent primary win over challenger Dylan Blaha underscored limited intraparty risk, while Republican nominee Jeff Wilson’s March primary victory sets up a general-election contest with few visible momentum shifts since. Late national swings, turnout surprises, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,369종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nikki Budzinski’s decisive primary victory and the Illinois 13th’s structural Democratic tilt anchor trader expectations that the party will retain the seat in November. The district, drawn to favor Democrats through its mix of Champaign-Urbana, Springfield, and St. Louis suburbs, delivered Budzinski comfortable margins in prior cycles, and Cook Political Report classifies the race as Solid Democratic. Her 76-to-24 percent primary win over challenger Dylan Blaha underscored limited intraparty risk, while Republican nominee Jeff Wilson’s March primary victory sets up a general-election contest with few visible momentum shifts since. Late national swings, turnout surprises, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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