Market icon

ピート・ヘグセスは3月31日までにクロードを禁止しますか?

Market icon

ピート・ヘグセスは3月31日までにクロードを禁止しますか?

はい

>99% chance
Polymarket

$2,323,996 Vol.

はい

>99% chance
Polymarket

$2,323,996 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude.

A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude.

Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,323,996
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 16, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude. A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude. Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude.

A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude.

Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,323,996
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 16, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude. A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude. Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ピート・ヘグセスは3月31日までにクロードを禁止しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ピート・ヘグセスは3月31日までにクロードを禁止しますか?」で100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ピート・ヘグセスは3月31日までにクロードを禁止しますか?」は$2.3 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ピート・ヘグセスは3月31日までにクロードを禁止しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ピート・ヘグセスは3月31日までにクロードを禁止しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ピート・ヘグセスは3月31日までにクロードを禁止しますか?」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ピート・ヘグセスは3月31日までにクロードを禁止しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。