Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, released in February 2026, achieved approximately 37% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—comprising tiers of unpublished, expert-level math problems including open research challenges—matching prior Gemini 3 Pro performance while solving a novel Tier 4 problem. This keeps Gemini competitive but trailing leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro, which hit 50% on Tiers 1-3 and 38% on Tier 4 in March evaluations. Trader sentiment hinges on Google's rapid iteration amid fierce rivalry from Anthropic's Claude and xAI's Grok models, with potential Gemini 4 previews at May's Google I/O or developer updates possibly boosting scores before the June 30 deadline; historical delays in frontier AI releases underscore execution risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$127,692 Vol.
2026/02/28
40％以上
92%
45％以上
41%
50％以上
33%
60％以上
18%
$127,692 Vol.
40％以上
$30,444 Vol.
92%
45％以上
$48,284 Vol.
41%
50％以上
$18,709 Vol.
33%
60％以上
$30,255 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, released in February 2026, achieved approximately 37% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—comprising tiers of unpublished, expert-level math problems including open research challenges—matching prior Gemini 3 Pro performance while solving a novel Tier 4 problem. This keeps Gemini competitive but trailing leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro, which hit 50% on Tiers 1-3 and 38% on Tier 4 in March evaluations. Trader sentiment hinges on Google's rapid iteration amid fierce rivalry from Anthropic's Claude and xAI's Grok models, with potential Gemini 4 previews at May's Google I/O or developer updates possibly boosting scores before the June 30 deadline; historical delays in frontier AI releases underscore execution risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
音量
$127,692終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, released in February 2026, achieved approximately 37% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—comprising tiers of unpublished, expert-level math problems including open research challenges—matching prior Gemini 3 Pro performance while solving a novel Tier 4 problem. This keeps Gemini competitive but trailing leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro, which hit 50% on Tiers 1-3 and 38% on Tier 4 in March evaluations. Trader sentiment hinges on Google's rapid iteration amid fierce rivalry from Anthropic's Claude and xAI's Grok models, with potential Gemini 4 previews at May's Google I/O or developer updates possibly boosting scores before the June 30 deadline; historical delays in frontier AI releases underscore execution risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$127,692終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro, released in February 2026, achieved approximately 37% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—comprising tiers of unpublished, expert-level math problems including open research challenges—matching prior Gemini 3 Pro performance while solving a novel Tier 4 problem. This keeps Gemini competitive but trailing leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 Pro, which hit 50% on Tiers 1-3 and 38% on Tier 4 in March evaluations. Trader sentiment hinges on Google's rapid iteration amid fierce rivalry from Anthropic's Claude and xAI's Grok models, with potential Gemini 4 previews at May's Google I/O or developer updates possibly boosting scores before the June 30 deadline; historical delays in frontier AI releases underscore execution risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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