Trader consensus favors "No" at 80.5% for a new country formally joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any official normalization agreements publicly acknowledged by both governments under the Accords framework since Kazakhstan's disputed November 2025 announcement, which lacked a requisite formal signing. Recent pledges, such as Somaliland's following Israel's December 2025 recognition, have stalled amid opposition from UAE, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Egypt, with no verified diplomatic breakthroughs in the past 30 days. Saudi Crown Prince MBS expressed interest in November 2025 normalization contingent on Palestinian state progress, but ongoing regional tensions—including Iran-backed threats and post-Gaza war reconfiguration—have slowed expansions, leaving traders skeptical of near-term signings despite U.S. encouragement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/06/30
新規
新規
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 80.5% for a new country formally joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any official normalization agreements publicly acknowledged by both governments under the Accords framework since Kazakhstan's disputed November 2025 announcement, which lacked a requisite formal signing. Recent pledges, such as Somaliland's following Israel's December 2025 recognition, have stalled amid opposition from UAE, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Egypt, with no verified diplomatic breakthroughs in the past 30 days. Saudi Crown Prince MBS expressed interest in November 2025 normalization contingent on Palestinian state progress, but ongoing regional tensions—including Iran-backed threats and post-Gaza war reconfiguration—have slowed expansions, leaving traders skeptical of near-term signings despite U.S. encouragement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$1,236終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 80.5% for a new country formally joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any official normalization agreements publicly acknowledged by both governments under the Accords framework since Kazakhstan's disputed November 2025 announcement, which lacked a requisite formal signing. Recent pledges, such as Somaliland's following Israel's December 2025 recognition, have stalled amid opposition from UAE, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Egypt, with no verified diplomatic breakthroughs in the past 30 days. Saudi Crown Prince MBS expressed interest in November 2025 normalization contingent on Palestinian state progress, but ongoing regional tensions—including Iran-backed threats and post-Gaza war reconfiguration—have slowed expansions, leaving traders skeptical of near-term signings despite U.S. encouragement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,236終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 80.5% for a new country formally joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any official normalization agreements publicly acknowledged by both governments under the Accords framework since Kazakhstan's disputed November 2025 announcement, which lacked a requisite formal signing. Recent pledges, such as Somaliland's following Israel's December 2025 recognition, have stalled amid opposition from UAE, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Egypt, with no verified diplomatic breakthroughs in the past 30 days. Saudi Crown Prince MBS expressed interest in November 2025 normalization contingent on Palestinian state progress, but ongoing regional tensions—including Iran-backed threats and post-Gaza war reconfiguration—have slowed expansions, leaving traders skeptical of near-term signings despite U.S. encouragement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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