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政治·トランプ

トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか？

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政治·トランプ

トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか？

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

$306,804 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$306,804 Vol.

Polymarket
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte at 77% implied probability for a verifiable verbal interaction with President Trump by March 31, driven by ongoing NATO coordination needs amid Strait of Hormuz tensions and Iran's recent missile strikes on regional energy infrastructure. Trailing outcomes include Chinese President Xi Jinping (32%) and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (19%), reflecting diplomatic maneuvering around Operation Epic Fury—launched March 1 against Iran's nuclear program—but lacking confirmed March talks despite reports of Saudi-U.S. discussions on escalation. Trump's March 27 remarks at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative referenced Xi and Iranian intermediaries without direct engagements, while unspecified bilateral meetings on March 3 and 19 add uncertainty. No major confirmed leader talks this month have shifted odds decisively, with late-breaking diplomacy possible before resolution.

Trader consensus favors NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte at 77% implied probability for a verifiable verbal interaction with President Trump by March 31, driven by ongoing NATO coordination needs amid Strait of Hormuz tensions and Iran's recent missile strikes on regional energy infrastructure. Trailing outcomes include Chinese President Xi Jinping (32%) and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (19%), reflecting diplomatic maneuvering around Operation Epic Fury—launched March 1 against Iran's nuclear program—but lacking confirmed March talks despite reports of Saudi-U.S. discussions on escalation. Trump's March 27 remarks at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative referenced Xi and Iranian intermediaries without direct engagements, while unspecified bilateral meetings on March 3 and 19 add uncertainty. No major confirmed leader talks this month have shifted odds decisively, with late-breaking diplomacy possible before resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte at 77% implied probability for a verifiable verbal interaction with President Trump by March 31, driven by ongoing NATO coordination needs amid Strait of Hormuz tensions and Iran's recent missile strikes on regional energy infrastructure. Trailing outcomes include Chinese President Xi Jinping (32%) and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (19%), reflecting diplomatic maneuvering around Operation Epic Fury—launched March 1 against Iran's nuclear program—but lacking confirmed March talks despite reports of Saudi-U.S. discussions on escalation. Trump's March 27 remarks at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative referenced Xi and Iranian intermediaries without direct engagements, while unspecified bilateral meetings on March 3 and 19 add uncertainty. No major confirmed leader talks this month have shifted odds decisively, with late-breaking diplomacy possible before resolution.

Trader consensus favors NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte at 77% implied probability for a verifiable verbal interaction with President Trump by March 31, driven by ongoing NATO coordination needs amid Strait of Hormuz tensions and Iran's recent missile strikes on regional energy infrastructure. Trailing outcomes include Chinese President Xi Jinping (32%) and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (19%), reflecting diplomatic maneuvering around Operation Epic Fury—launched March 1 against Iran's nuclear program—but lacking confirmed March talks despite reports of Saudi-U.S. discussions on escalation. Trump's March 27 remarks at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative referenced Xi and Iranian intermediaries without direct engagements, while unspecified bilateral meetings on March 3 and 19 add uncertainty. No major confirmed leader talks this month have shifted odds decisively, with late-breaking diplomacy possible before resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか？」はPolymarket上の19個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「フリードリヒ・メルツ」で100%、次いで「マリア・コリナ・マチャド」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか？」は$306.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

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「トランプ大統領は3月に誰と話しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「フリードリヒ・メルツ」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「マリア・コリナ・マチャド」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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