Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump engaging Western leaders like NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (99%) and French President Emmanuel Macron (81%) in April, driven by Trump's April 1 national address declaring the Iran war nearing completion and urging allies including France, Japan, and others to secure the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing military operations. Recent public exchanges, including Trump's recounted phone call with Macron and criticisms of NATO contributions, signal active diplomacy on burden-sharing and de-escalation. Lower probabilities for adversaries like Iran's Masoud Pezeshkian (8%) reflect persistent conflict tensions, while upcoming Hormuz patrols and potential ceasefire talks could shift odds for figures like Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (70%) or Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelenskyy (57%).
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$49,232 Vol.

Mark Carney
100%

Mark Rutte
98%

Keir Starmer
75%

Emmanuel Macron
75%

Mohammed bin Salman
67%

Friedrich Merz
60%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
56%

イーロン・マスク
49%

Vladimir Putin
40%

Ursula von der Leyen
39%

Xi Jinping
34%

Maria Corina Machado
30%

Lula da Silva
25%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
13%

Reza Pahlavi
10%

Masoud Pezeshkian
6%

Nicolás Maduro
3%

Kim Jong Un
3%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
$49,232 Vol.

Mark Carney
100%

Mark Rutte
98%

Keir Starmer
75%

Emmanuel Macron
75%

Mohammed bin Salman
67%

Friedrich Merz
60%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
56%

イーロン・マスク
49%

Vladimir Putin
40%

Ursula von der Leyen
39%

Xi Jinping
34%

Maria Corina Machado
30%

Lula da Silva
25%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
13%

Reza Pahlavi
10%

Masoud Pezeshkian
6%

Nicolás Maduro
3%

Kim Jong Un
3%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump engaging Western leaders like NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (99%) and French President Emmanuel Macron (81%) in April, driven by Trump's April 1 national address declaring the Iran war nearing completion and urging allies including France, Japan, and others to secure the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing military operations. Recent public exchanges, including Trump's recounted phone call with Macron and criticisms of NATO contributions, signal active diplomacy on burden-sharing and de-escalation. Lower probabilities for adversaries like Iran's Masoud Pezeshkian (8%) reflect persistent conflict tensions, while upcoming Hormuz patrols and potential ceasefire talks could shift odds for figures like Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (70%) or Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelenskyy (57%).
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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