Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) faces State Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains and professor Randy Villegas in California's June 2 top-two primary for the competitive CA-22 seat, a Central Valley battleground with a new Cook PVI of D+1 following 2025 redistricting via Prop 50. Recent Democratic momentum includes Villegas securing a Courage California endorsement on March 20 and challenging rivals to a televised debate on March 19, alongside DCCC-highlighted backlash against Valadao among Latino voters over his moderate record, including a January vote extending ACA subsidies. Absent public polls, trader consensus implies 70% odds of a Democratic general election winner amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party and challengers' combined fundraising nearing Valadao's cash on hand.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
71%
共和党
45%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$0 Vol.
71%
共和党
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) faces State Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains and professor Randy Villegas in California's June 2 top-two primary for the competitive CA-22 seat, a Central Valley battleground with a new Cook PVI of D+1 following 2025 redistricting via Prop 50. Recent Democratic momentum includes Villegas securing a Courage California endorsement on March 20 and challenging rivals to a televised debate on March 19, alongside DCCC-highlighted backlash against Valadao among Latino voters over his moderate record, including a January vote extending ACA subsidies. Absent public polls, trader consensus implies 70% odds of a Democratic general election winner amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party and challengers' combined fundraising nearing Valadao's cash on hand.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) faces State Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains and professor Randy Villegas in California's June 2 top-two primary for the competitive CA-22 seat, a Central Valley battleground with a new Cook PVI of D+1 following 2025 redistricting via Prop 50. Recent Democratic momentum includes Villegas securing a Courage California endorsement on March 20 and challenging rivals to a televised debate on March 19, alongside DCCC-highlighted backlash against Valadao among Latino voters over his moderate record, including a January vote extending ACA subsidies. Absent public polls, trader consensus implies 70% odds of a Democratic general election winner amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party and challengers' combined fundraising nearing Valadao's cash on hand.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) faces State Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains and professor Randy Villegas in California's June 2 top-two primary for the competitive CA-22 seat, a Central Valley battleground with a new Cook PVI of D+1 following 2025 redistricting via Prop 50. Recent Democratic momentum includes Villegas securing a Courage California endorsement on March 20 and challenging rivals to a televised debate on March 19, alongside DCCC-highlighted backlash against Valadao among Latino voters over his moderate record, including a January vote extending ACA subsidies. Absent public polls, trader consensus implies 70% odds of a Democratic general election winner amid midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party and challengers' combined fundraising nearing Valadao's cash on hand.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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