Google 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Anthropic <1%
$4,152,259 Vol.
$4,152,259 Vol.
Jun 30, 2025

$906,676 Vol.
Yes

OpenAI
$603,448 Vol.
No

xAI
$773,958 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$554,352 Vol.
No

Meta
$531,416 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$403,616 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$378,794 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Google has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Google has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
作成日: Dec 31, 2024, 3:51 PM ET
音量
$4,152,259終了日
Jun 30, 2025作成日時
Dec 31, 2024, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Google 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Anthropic <1%
$4,152,259 Vol.
$4,152,259 Vol.
Jun 30, 2025

$906,676 Vol.
Yes

OpenAI
$603,448 Vol.
No

xAI
$773,958 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$554,352 Vol.
No

Meta
$531,416 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$403,616 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$378,794 Vol.
No
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外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions
"Which company has best AI model on June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Google" at 100%, followed by "OpenAI" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Which company has best AI model on June 30?" has generated $4.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 31, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Which company has best AI model on June 30?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Which company has best AI model on June 30?" is "Google" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "OpenAI" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Which company has best AI model on June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
Frequently Asked Questions