US special forces conducted a limited raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid airstrikes on military targets, marking the initial entry that lawmakers described as a one-off operation with no sustained ground troop deployments planned. Since then, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has pursued alignment with Washington, sacking pro-Maduro defense minister Vladimir Padrino López on March 18 and reshuffling senior commanders, while reestablishing diplomatic ties on March 5 following US-Southcom meetings. No verified subsequent US military entries have occurred in the past 30 days, despite threats from PSUV hardliner Diosdado Cabello and colectivos; trader consensus reflects low escalation risk absent major instability, with focus shifting to economic reforms, oil sanctions relief, and transition oversight via coordination rather than direct intervention.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$1,255,942 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
3月31日
1%
6月30日
15%
$1,255,942 Vol.
3月31日
$2,432 Vol.
1%
6月30日
$173,421 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces conducted a limited raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid airstrikes on military targets, marking the initial entry that lawmakers described as a one-off operation with no sustained ground troop deployments planned. Since then, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has pursued alignment with Washington, sacking pro-Maduro defense minister Vladimir Padrino López on March 18 and reshuffling senior commanders, while reestablishing diplomatic ties on March 5 following US-Southcom meetings. No verified subsequent US military entries have occurred in the past 30 days, despite threats from PSUV hardliner Diosdado Cabello and colectivos; trader consensus reflects low escalation risk absent major instability, with focus shifting to economic reforms, oil sanctions relief, and transition oversight via coordination rather than direct intervention.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
音量
$1,255,942終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces conducted a limited raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid airstrikes on military targets, marking the initial entry that lawmakers described as a one-off operation with no sustained ground troop deployments planned. Since then, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has pursued alignment with Washington, sacking pro-Maduro defense minister Vladimir Padrino López on March 18 and reshuffling senior commanders, while reestablishing diplomatic ties on March 5 following US-Southcom meetings. No verified subsequent US military entries have occurred in the past 30 days, despite threats from PSUV hardliner Diosdado Cabello and colectivos; trader consensus reflects low escalation risk absent major instability, with focus shifting to economic reforms, oil sanctions relief, and transition oversight via coordination rather than direct intervention.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,255,942終了日
Jun 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces conducted a limited raid into Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid airstrikes on military targets, marking the initial entry that lawmakers described as a one-off operation with no sustained ground troop deployments planned. Since then, interim President Delcy Rodríguez has pursued alignment with Washington, sacking pro-Maduro defense minister Vladimir Padrino López on March 18 and reshuffling senior commanders, while reestablishing diplomatic ties on March 5 following US-Southcom meetings. No verified subsequent US military entries have occurred in the past 30 days, despite threats from PSUV hardliner Diosdado Cabello and colectivos; trader consensus reflects low escalation risk absent major instability, with focus shifting to economic reforms, oil sanctions relief, and transition oversight via coordination rather than direct intervention.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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