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政治·ベネズエラ

米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ？

Market icon
政治·ベネズエラ

米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ？

Jun 30

Jun 30

$1,255,884 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,255,884 Vol.

Polymarket

3月31日

$2,432 Vol.

1%

6月30日

$173,363 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, in a precision raid capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife for US trial on narcotics charges, marking the baseline event before any "again" scenario; forces withdrew post-operation without establishing a sustained presence. Since then, no further military entries have been reported, as the Trump administration pursues diplomatic oversight of interim President Delcy Rodríguez's government, including eased oil sanctions on March 18 amid transition negotiations. Persistent Chavista hardliner threats, opposition leader María Corina Machado's planned return, and Secretary Rubio's January warnings of potential escalation if reforms falter keep intervention risks alive, though Congress has advanced resolutions limiting unauthorized hostilities.

US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, in a precision raid capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife for US trial on narcotics charges, marking the baseline event before any "again" scenario; forces withdrew post-operation without establishing a sustained presence. Since then, no further military entries have been reported, as the Trump administration pursues diplomatic oversight of interim President Delcy Rodríguez's government, including eased oil sanctions on March 18 amid transition negotiations. Persistent Chavista hardliner threats, opposition leader María Corina Machado's planned return, and Secretary Rubio's January warnings of potential escalation if reforms falter keep intervention risks alive, though Congress has advanced resolutions limiting unauthorized hostilities.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, in a precision raid capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife for US trial on narcotics charges, marking the baseline event before any "again" scenario; forces withdrew post-operation without establishing a sustained presence. Since then, no further military entries have been reported, as the Trump administration pursues diplomatic oversight of interim President Delcy Rodríguez's government, including eased oil sanctions on March 18 amid transition negotiations. Persistent Chavista hardliner threats, opposition leader María Corina Machado's planned return, and Secretary Rubio's January warnings of potential escalation if reforms falter keep intervention risks alive, though Congress has advanced resolutions limiting unauthorized hostilities.

US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, in a precision raid capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife for US trial on narcotics charges, marking the baseline event before any "again" scenario; forces withdrew post-operation without establishing a sustained presence. Since then, no further military entries have been reported, as the Trump administration pursues diplomatic oversight of interim President Delcy Rodríguez's government, including eased oil sanctions on March 18 amid transition negotiations. Persistent Chavista hardliner threats, opposition leader María Corina Machado's planned return, and Secretary Rubio's January warnings of potential escalation if reforms falter keep intervention risks alive, though Congress has advanced resolutions limiting unauthorized hostilities.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ？」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「6月30日」で14%、次いで「3月31日」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、14¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に14%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ？」は$1.3 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「6月30日」で14%であり、市場がこの結果に14%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「3月31日」で1%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。