Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott's dominant March 3 primary win with 82% of the vote solidified his path to a fourth term, bolstering trader consensus at 83% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Rep. Gina Hinojosa. Recent polls, including University of Texas-Tyler surveys showing Abbott ahead by 8-12 points and a RealClearPolling average of +7.5, underscore his edge amid Texas' GOP stronghold status, where no Democrat has won since 1995. Abbott's $106 million fundraising war chest dwarfs Hinojosa's, amplifying incumbency advantages on border security and economic issues, though Democrats' recent joint rallies signal mobilization efforts in battleground areas ahead of early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
80%
民主党
18%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$2,649 Vol.
80%
民主党
$3,252 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott's dominant March 3 primary win with 82% of the vote solidified his path to a fourth term, bolstering trader consensus at 83% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Rep. Gina Hinojosa. Recent polls, including University of Texas-Tyler surveys showing Abbott ahead by 8-12 points and a RealClearPolling average of +7.5, underscore his edge amid Texas' GOP stronghold status, where no Democrat has won since 1995. Abbott's $106 million fundraising war chest dwarfs Hinojosa's, amplifying incumbency advantages on border security and economic issues, though Democrats' recent joint rallies signal mobilization efforts in battleground areas ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$5,901終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott's dominant March 3 primary win with 82% of the vote solidified his path to a fourth term, bolstering trader consensus at 83% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Rep. Gina Hinojosa. Recent polls, including University of Texas-Tyler surveys showing Abbott ahead by 8-12 points and a RealClearPolling average of +7.5, underscore his edge amid Texas' GOP stronghold status, where no Democrat has won since 1995. Abbott's $106 million fundraising war chest dwarfs Hinojosa's, amplifying incumbency advantages on border security and economic issues, though Democrats' recent joint rallies signal mobilization efforts in battleground areas ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$5,901終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott's dominant March 3 primary win with 82% of the vote solidified his path to a fourth term, bolstering trader consensus at 83% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Rep. Gina Hinojosa. Recent polls, including University of Texas-Tyler surveys showing Abbott ahead by 8-12 points and a RealClearPolling average of +7.5, underscore his edge amid Texas' GOP stronghold status, where no Democrat has won since 1995. Abbott's $106 million fundraising war chest dwarfs Hinojosa's, amplifying incumbency advantages on border security and economic issues, though Democrats' recent joint rallies signal mobilization efforts in battleground areas ahead of early voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問