Trader consensus on Peru's April 12 presidential election first round favors 70-75% turnout at 57.5%, aligning with the 73% recorded in 2021 amid similar political fragmentation and crisis. Recent March polls from Ipsos, Datum, and CPI reveal high undecided voters (11-23%) and blank vote intentions (12-21%), signaling persistent apathy despite compulsory voting for ages 18-70. A record 37 parties and no frontrunner above 17%—with Keiko Fujimori and Rafael López Aliaga leading narrowly—exacerbate disillusionment fueled by record 2025 murders (3,675), corruption scandals, and five impeached presidents in a decade. Final televised debates this week failed to consolidate support, while 25% Gen Z voters (6.9 million) and 2.5 million first-timers introduce uncertainty, keeping lower turnout bins viable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ペルー大統領選第1ラウンド：投票率
ペルー大統領選第1ラウンド：投票率
70～75％ 57%
75～80％ 28%
80〜85％ 11%
85％超 3.9%
新規
新規
2026/04/12
70％未満
2%
70～75％
57%
75～80％
28%
80〜85％
11%
85％超
4%
70～75％ 57%
75～80％ 28%
80〜85％ 11%
85％超 3.9%
新規
新規
2026/04/12
70％未満
$559 Vol.
2%
70～75％
$448 Vol.
57%
75～80％
$424 Vol.
28%
80〜85％
$473 Vol.
11%
85％超
$720 Vol.
4%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus on Peru's April 12 presidential election first round favors 70-75% turnout at 57.5%, aligning with the 73% recorded in 2021 amid similar political fragmentation and crisis. Recent March polls from Ipsos, Datum, and CPI reveal high undecided voters (11-23%) and blank vote intentions (12-21%), signaling persistent apathy despite compulsory voting for ages 18-70. A record 37 parties and no frontrunner above 17%—with Keiko Fujimori and Rafael López Aliaga leading narrowly—exacerbate disillusionment fueled by record 2025 murders (3,675), corruption scandals, and five impeached presidents in a decade. Final televised debates this week failed to consolidate support, while 25% Gen Z voters (6.9 million) and 2.5 million first-timers introduce uncertainty, keeping lower turnout bins viable.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
マーケット開始日： Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
音量
$2,624終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus on Peru's April 12 presidential election first round favors 70-75% turnout at 57.5%, aligning with the 73% recorded in 2021 amid similar political fragmentation and crisis. Recent March polls from Ipsos, Datum, and CPI reveal high undecided voters (11-23%) and blank vote intentions (12-21%), signaling persistent apathy despite compulsory voting for ages 18-70. A record 37 parties and no frontrunner above 17%—with Keiko Fujimori and Rafael López Aliaga leading narrowly—exacerbate disillusionment fueled by record 2025 murders (3,675), corruption scandals, and five impeached presidents in a decade. Final televised debates this week failed to consolidate support, while 25% Gen Z voters (6.9 million) and 2.5 million first-timers introduce uncertainty, keeping lower turnout bins viable.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
音量
$2,624終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Peru's April 12 presidential election first round favors 70-75% turnout at 57.5%, aligning with the 73% recorded in 2021 amid similar political fragmentation and crisis. Recent March polls from Ipsos, Datum, and CPI reveal high undecided voters (11-23%) and blank vote intentions (12-21%), signaling persistent apathy despite compulsory voting for ages 18-70. A record 37 parties and no frontrunner above 17%—with Keiko Fujimori and Rafael López Aliaga leading narrowly—exacerbate disillusionment fueled by record 2025 murders (3,675), corruption scandals, and five impeached presidents in a decade. Final televised debates this week failed to consolidate support, while 25% Gen Z voters (6.9 million) and 2.5 million first-timers introduce uncertainty, keeping lower turnout bins viable.
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