Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Fuerza Popular (FP) a narrow edge at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Congress—referred to as the Chamber of Deputies in some contexts—closely followed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 31.3% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 23%, underscoring the fragmented multiparty system and proportional representation that rarely yields outright majorities. This tight race persists amid President Dina Boluarte's persistently low approval ratings below 10% and nationwide protests over corruption scandals and economic woes, boosting anti-incumbent sentiment without consolidating behind one bloc. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming candidate registrations for the April 2026 general election, potential endorsements, or fresh polling could widen gaps between frontrunners.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日FP 37%
JP 24.6%
RP 24%
APP 4.5%
$26,852 Vol.
$26,852 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
FP
37%
PL
<1%
AP
<1%
APP
5%
AvP
<1%
RP
24%
SP
3%
PP
<1%
JP
25%
FP 37%
JP 24.6%
RP 24%
APP 4.5%
$26,852 Vol.
$26,852 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
FP
$3,315 Vol.
37%
PL
$679 Vol.
<1%
AP
$7,264 Vol.
<1%
APP
$2,096 Vol.
5%
AvP
$588 Vol.
<1%
RP
$2,008 Vol.
24%
SP
$2,478 Vol.
3%
PP
$1,190 Vol.
<1%
JP
$7,234 Vol.
25%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Fuerza Popular (FP) a narrow edge at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Congress—referred to as the Chamber of Deputies in some contexts—closely followed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 31.3% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 23%, underscoring the fragmented multiparty system and proportional representation that rarely yields outright majorities. This tight race persists amid President Dina Boluarte's persistently low approval ratings below 10% and nationwide protests over corruption scandals and economic woes, boosting anti-incumbent sentiment without consolidating behind one bloc. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming candidate registrations for the April 2026 general election, potential endorsements, or fresh polling could widen gaps between frontrunners.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
音量
$26,852終了日
Apr 12, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Fuerza Popular (FP) a narrow edge at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Congress—referred to as the Chamber of Deputies in some contexts—closely followed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 31.3% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 23%, underscoring the fragmented multiparty system and proportional representation that rarely yields outright majorities. This tight race persists amid President Dina Boluarte's persistently low approval ratings below 10% and nationwide protests over corruption scandals and economic woes, boosting anti-incumbent sentiment without consolidating behind one bloc. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming candidate registrations for the April 2026 general election, potential endorsements, or fresh polling could widen gaps between frontrunners.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
音量
$26,852終了日
Apr 12, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Fuerza Popular (FP) a narrow edge at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Congress—referred to as the Chamber of Deputies in some contexts—closely followed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 31.3% and Renovación Popular (RP) at 23%, underscoring the fragmented multiparty system and proportional representation that rarely yields outright majorities. This tight race persists amid President Dina Boluarte's persistently low approval ratings below 10% and nationwide protests over corruption scandals and economic woes, boosting anti-incumbent sentiment without consolidating behind one bloc. No major shifts in the past week, but upcoming candidate registrations for the April 2026 general election, potential endorsements, or fresh polling could widen gaps between frontrunners.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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