Recent polls, including Ipsos' March 2026 simulacro de votación and Datum's fieldwork from March 13-17, position Fuerza Popular (FP) and Renovación Popular (RP) as frontrunners in legislative preferences at around 14-19% and 13-18% respectively, closely trailed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) near 10%, driving trader consensus for these parties to secure the plurality of seats in Peru's new 130-member Chamber of Deputies under proportional representation. Amid ongoing political instability—including the February impeachment of interim President José Jerí and installation of José María Balcázar—these right-leaning parties benefit from voter disillusionment with fragmented left-of-center options and high undecideds exceeding 20%, as the April 12 general election approaches with no majority projected and coalition negotiations looming post-vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日FP 37%
RP 24%
JP 22.8%
APP 4.5%
$26,852 Vol.
$26,852 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
FP
37%
PL
<1%
AP
<1%
APP
5%
AvP
<1%
RP
24%
SP
3%
PP
<1%
JP
23%
FP 37%
RP 24%
JP 22.8%
APP 4.5%
$26,852 Vol.
$26,852 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
FP
$3,315 Vol.
37%
PL
$679 Vol.
<1%
AP
$7,264 Vol.
<1%
APP
$2,096 Vol.
5%
AvP
$588 Vol.
<1%
RP
$2,008 Vol.
24%
SP
$2,478 Vol.
3%
PP
$1,190 Vol.
<1%
JP
$7,234 Vol.
23%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Recent polls, including Ipsos' March 2026 simulacro de votación and Datum's fieldwork from March 13-17, position Fuerza Popular (FP) and Renovación Popular (RP) as frontrunners in legislative preferences at around 14-19% and 13-18% respectively, closely trailed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) near 10%, driving trader consensus for these parties to secure the plurality of seats in Peru's new 130-member Chamber of Deputies under proportional representation. Amid ongoing political instability—including the February impeachment of interim President José Jerí and installation of José María Balcázar—these right-leaning parties benefit from voter disillusionment with fragmented left-of-center options and high undecideds exceeding 20%, as the April 12 general election approaches with no majority projected and coalition negotiations looming post-vote.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
音量
$26,852終了日
Apr 12, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Recent polls, including Ipsos' March 2026 simulacro de votación and Datum's fieldwork from March 13-17, position Fuerza Popular (FP) and Renovación Popular (RP) as frontrunners in legislative preferences at around 14-19% and 13-18% respectively, closely trailed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) near 10%, driving trader consensus for these parties to secure the plurality of seats in Peru's new 130-member Chamber of Deputies under proportional representation. Amid ongoing political instability—including the February impeachment of interim President José Jerí and installation of José María Balcázar—these right-leaning parties benefit from voter disillusionment with fragmented left-of-center options and high undecideds exceeding 20%, as the April 12 general election approaches with no majority projected and coalition negotiations looming post-vote.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
音量
$26,852終了日
Apr 12, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including Ipsos' March 2026 simulacro de votación and Datum's fieldwork from March 13-17, position Fuerza Popular (FP) and Renovación Popular (RP) as frontrunners in legislative preferences at around 14-19% and 13-18% respectively, closely trailed by Juntos por el Perú (JP) near 10%, driving trader consensus for these parties to secure the plurality of seats in Peru's new 130-member Chamber of Deputies under proportional representation. Amid ongoing political instability—including the February impeachment of interim President José Jerí and installation of José María Balcázar—these right-leaning parties benefit from voter disillusionment with fragmented left-of-center options and high undecideds exceeding 20%, as the April 12 general election approaches with no majority projected and coalition negotiations looming post-vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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