Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 87.5% trader consensus in the May 12, 2026 Newark mayoral election, driven by his unchallenged incumbency advantage and a weak field of seven challengers certified by late February, none viewed as credible threats. Recent momentum stems from Baraka's State of the City address last month and a high-profile NJPAC rally three days ago, where he touted 12 years of progress on job creation, public safety, and development, reinforcing voter loyalty in the non-partisan race. Challengers like Nasheedah Singleton (6%) and Douglas Davis (5.1%) lack polling traction or major endorsements, with markets pricing low upset risk absent late scandals or turnout shifts in the final five weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Ras Baraka 89%
Nasheedah Singleton 4.4%
Douglas Davis 3.9%
Debra Salters 3.5%
$10,635 Vol.
$10,635 Vol.
2026/05/12
Ras Baraka
89%
Nasheedah Singleton
4%
Douglas Davis
4%
Debra Salters
3%
Sheila Montague
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Noble Milton
1%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Ras Baraka 89%
Nasheedah Singleton 4.4%
Douglas Davis 3.9%
Debra Salters 3.5%
$10,635 Vol.
$10,635 Vol.
2026/05/12
Ras Baraka
$2,381 Vol.
89%
Nasheedah Singleton
$615 Vol.
4%
Douglas Davis
$667 Vol.
4%
Debra Salters
$712 Vol.
3%
Sheila Montague
$983 Vol.
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
$687 Vol.
2%
Noble Milton
$2,692 Vol.
1%
Tanisha Garner
$710 Vol.
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
$626 Vol.
<1%
Louis Shockley
$563 Vol.
<1%
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 87.5% trader consensus in the May 12, 2026 Newark mayoral election, driven by his unchallenged incumbency advantage and a weak field of seven challengers certified by late February, none viewed as credible threats. Recent momentum stems from Baraka's State of the City address last month and a high-profile NJPAC rally three days ago, where he touted 12 years of progress on job creation, public safety, and development, reinforcing voter loyalty in the non-partisan race. Challengers like Nasheedah Singleton (6%) and Douglas Davis (5.1%) lack polling traction or major endorsements, with markets pricing low upset risk absent late scandals or turnout shifts in the final five weeks.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
マーケット開始日： Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
音量
$10,635終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 87.5% trader consensus in the May 12, 2026 Newark mayoral election, driven by his unchallenged incumbency advantage and a weak field of seven challengers certified by late February, none viewed as credible threats. Recent momentum stems from Baraka's State of the City address last month and a high-profile NJPAC rally three days ago, where he touted 12 years of progress on job creation, public safety, and development, reinforcing voter loyalty in the non-partisan race. Challengers like Nasheedah Singleton (6%) and Douglas Davis (5.1%) lack polling traction or major endorsements, with markets pricing low upset risk absent late scandals or turnout shifts in the final five weeks.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
音量
$10,635終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 87.5% trader consensus in the May 12, 2026 Newark mayoral election, driven by his unchallenged incumbency advantage and a weak field of seven challengers certified by late February, none viewed as credible threats. Recent momentum stems from Baraka's State of the City address last month and a high-profile NJPAC rally three days ago, where he touted 12 years of progress on job creation, public safety, and development, reinforcing voter loyalty in the non-partisan race. Challengers like Nasheedah Singleton (6%) and Douglas Davis (5.1%) lack polling traction or major endorsements, with markets pricing low upset risk absent late scandals or turnout shifts in the final five weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問