Trader consensus on Polymarket prices TISZA as the frontrunner to win Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting independent polls showing the opposition party led by Péter Magyar widening its lead over incumbent Fidesz-KDNP to 58-35% among decided voters in the latest Medián survey and a 23-point median gap as of March 20. Recent developments include a Reuters poll on March 25 confirming Tisza's expanded advantage, driven by strong youth turnout, a massive March 15 opposition march drawing half a million, and voter fatigue with Viktor Orbán after 16 years in power. Fidesz-KDNP holds at 33.5% amid conflicting pro-government polling like Nézőpont's narrower margin, while fragmented opposition parties trail far behind in Hungary's single-round, 199-seat National Assembly race where a plurality can secure a majority via winner-take-all districts. With two weeks left, final campaign momentum and turnout will decide control of parliament.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日TISZA 67%
フィデス＝KDNP 34%
モメンタム <1%
DK <1%
$48,674,988 Vol.
$48,674,988 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
67%
フィデス＝KDNP
34%
モメンタム
<1%
DK
<1%
LMP
<1%
MSZP
<1%
我が祖国運動（Mi Hazánk）
<1%
パールベサード
<1%
ヨッビク
<1%
KDNP
<1%
TISZA 67%
フィデス＝KDNP 34%
モメンタム <1%
DK <1%
$48,674,988 Vol.
$48,674,988 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
$831,738 Vol.
67%
フィデス＝KDNP
$1,104,873 Vol.
34%
モメンタム
$576,458 Vol.
<1%
DK
$4,874,095 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$14,325,701 Vol.
<1%
MSZP
$446,330 Vol.
<1%
我が祖国運動（Mi Hazánk）
$459,810 Vol.
<1%
パールベサード
$7,086,486 Vol.
<1%
ヨッビク
$14,786,561 Vol.
<1%
KDNP
$4,183,186 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices TISZA as the frontrunner to win Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting independent polls showing the opposition party led by Péter Magyar widening its lead over incumbent Fidesz-KDNP to 58-35% among decided voters in the latest Medián survey and a 23-point median gap as of March 20. Recent developments include a Reuters poll on March 25 confirming Tisza's expanded advantage, driven by strong youth turnout, a massive March 15 opposition march drawing half a million, and voter fatigue with Viktor Orbán after 16 years in power. Fidesz-KDNP holds at 33.5% amid conflicting pro-government polling like Nézőpont's narrower margin, while fragmented opposition parties trail far behind in Hungary's single-round, 199-seat National Assembly race where a plurality can secure a majority via winner-take-all districts. With two weeks left, final campaign momentum and turnout will decide control of parliament.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
音量
$48,674,988終了日
Apr 12, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices TISZA as the frontrunner to win Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting independent polls showing the opposition party led by Péter Magyar widening its lead over incumbent Fidesz-KDNP to 58-35% among decided voters in the latest Medián survey and a 23-point median gap as of March 20. Recent developments include a Reuters poll on March 25 confirming Tisza's expanded advantage, driven by strong youth turnout, a massive March 15 opposition march drawing half a million, and voter fatigue with Viktor Orbán after 16 years in power. Fidesz-KDNP holds at 33.5% amid conflicting pro-government polling like Nézőpont's narrower margin, while fragmented opposition parties trail far behind in Hungary's single-round, 199-seat National Assembly race where a plurality can secure a majority via winner-take-all districts. With two weeks left, final campaign momentum and turnout will decide control of parliament.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
音量
$48,674,988終了日
Apr 12, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices TISZA as the frontrunner to win Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting independent polls showing the opposition party led by Péter Magyar widening its lead over incumbent Fidesz-KDNP to 58-35% among decided voters in the latest Medián survey and a 23-point median gap as of March 20. Recent developments include a Reuters poll on March 25 confirming Tisza's expanded advantage, driven by strong youth turnout, a massive March 15 opposition march drawing half a million, and voter fatigue with Viktor Orbán after 16 years in power. Fidesz-KDNP holds at 33.5% amid conflicting pro-government polling like Nézőpont's narrower margin, while fragmented opposition parties trail far behind in Hungary's single-round, 199-seat National Assembly race where a plurality can secure a majority via winner-take-all districts. With two weeks left, final campaign momentum and turnout will decide control of parliament.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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