Péter Magyar's Tisza party holds a commanding lead in recent polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with surveys like Median showing 58% support among decided voters versus Fidesz's 35%—a 23-point gap widened from February—reflecting voter discontent over politics, economy, and governance. Hungary's mixed electoral system, featuring 106 gerrymandered single-member districts where Fidesz retains rural advantages and 93 proportional list seats, tempers expectations: a Tisza popular vote win may yield plurality but not guaranteed majority (133 of 199 seats) or constitutional supermajority. Independent polls diverge from Fidesz-aligned ones showing closer races; final turnout, last-minute scandals, and campaign intensity in the remaining 10 days will shape seat allocation and potential coalition negotiations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$96,899 Vol.
2026/04/12
90+
75%
100+
67%
110+
62%
120+
53%
130+
28%
$96,899 Vol.
90+
$15,013 Vol.
75%
100+
$19,357 Vol.
67%
110+
$21,106 Vol.
62%
120+
$7,759 Vol.
53%
130+
$33,664 Vol.
28%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Péter Magyar's Tisza party holds a commanding lead in recent polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with surveys like Median showing 58% support among decided voters versus Fidesz's 35%—a 23-point gap widened from February—reflecting voter discontent over politics, economy, and governance. Hungary's mixed electoral system, featuring 106 gerrymandered single-member districts where Fidesz retains rural advantages and 93 proportional list seats, tempers expectations: a Tisza popular vote win may yield plurality but not guaranteed majority (133 of 199 seats) or constitutional supermajority. Independent polls diverge from Fidesz-aligned ones showing closer races; final turnout, last-minute scandals, and campaign intensity in the remaining 10 days will shape seat allocation and potential coalition negotiations.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
マーケット開始日： Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
音量
$96,899終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Péter Magyar's Tisza party holds a commanding lead in recent polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with surveys like Median showing 58% support among decided voters versus Fidesz's 35%—a 23-point gap widened from February—reflecting voter discontent over politics, economy, and governance. Hungary's mixed electoral system, featuring 106 gerrymandered single-member districts where Fidesz retains rural advantages and 93 proportional list seats, tempers expectations: a Tisza popular vote win may yield plurality but not guaranteed majority (133 of 199 seats) or constitutional supermajority. Independent polls diverge from Fidesz-aligned ones showing closer races; final turnout, last-minute scandals, and campaign intensity in the remaining 10 days will shape seat allocation and potential coalition negotiations.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
音量
$96,899終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Péter Magyar's Tisza party holds a commanding lead in recent polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with surveys like Median showing 58% support among decided voters versus Fidesz's 35%—a 23-point gap widened from February—reflecting voter discontent over politics, economy, and governance. Hungary's mixed electoral system, featuring 106 gerrymandered single-member districts where Fidesz retains rural advantages and 93 proportional list seats, tempers expectations: a Tisza popular vote win may yield plurality but not guaranteed majority (133 of 199 seats) or constitutional supermajority. Independent polls diverge from Fidesz-aligned ones showing closer races; final turnout, last-minute scandals, and campaign intensity in the remaining 10 days will shape seat allocation and potential coalition negotiations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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