Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party holds a commanding lead in polls for Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with recent surveys like Medián (late March) showing 55-58% support among decided voters versus 35% for Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance, and Reuters reporting further widening as of April 1. Momentum stems from TISZA's appeal to under-30 voters (over 60% backing) and massive rallies, such as the March 15 event drawing half a million, amid economic discontent and calls for EU alignment. Nowcasts project TISZA winning 100-117 seats in the 199-seat unicameral parliament via its mixed system of 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats, though Fidesz's incumbency, rural strongholds, high turnout potential, and polling disputes introduce uncertainty for final seat tallies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$107,646 Vol.
2026/04/12
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62%
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29%
$107,646 Vol.
90+
$15,822 Vol.
83%
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$20,579 Vol.
67%
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$22,331 Vol.
62%
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$10,728 Vol.
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$38,226 Vol.
29%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party holds a commanding lead in polls for Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with recent surveys like Medián (late March) showing 55-58% support among decided voters versus 35% for Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance, and Reuters reporting further widening as of April 1. Momentum stems from TISZA's appeal to under-30 voters (over 60% backing) and massive rallies, such as the March 15 event drawing half a million, amid economic discontent and calls for EU alignment. Nowcasts project TISZA winning 100-117 seats in the 199-seat unicameral parliament via its mixed system of 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats, though Fidesz's incumbency, rural strongholds, high turnout potential, and polling disputes introduce uncertainty for final seat tallies.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
マーケット開始日： Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
音量
$107,646終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party holds a commanding lead in polls for Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with recent surveys like Medián (late March) showing 55-58% support among decided voters versus 35% for Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance, and Reuters reporting further widening as of April 1. Momentum stems from TISZA's appeal to under-30 voters (over 60% backing) and massive rallies, such as the March 15 event drawing half a million, amid economic discontent and calls for EU alignment. Nowcasts project TISZA winning 100-117 seats in the 199-seat unicameral parliament via its mixed system of 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats, though Fidesz's incumbency, rural strongholds, high turnout potential, and polling disputes introduce uncertainty for final seat tallies.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
音量
$107,646終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party holds a commanding lead in polls for Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with recent surveys like Medián (late March) showing 55-58% support among decided voters versus 35% for Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance, and Reuters reporting further widening as of April 1. Momentum stems from TISZA's appeal to under-30 voters (over 60% backing) and massive rallies, such as the March 15 event drawing half a million, amid economic discontent and calls for EU alignment. Nowcasts project TISZA winning 100-117 seats in the 199-seat unicameral parliament via its mixed system of 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats, though Fidesz's incumbency, rural strongholds, high turnout potential, and polling disputes introduce uncertainty for final seat tallies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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