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政治·プライマリ

CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者

マニー・ルティネル 74%

シャノン・バード 22%

ヤディラ・カラヴェオ 1.4%

デイブ・ヤング 1.1%

Polymarket
新規

マニー・ルティネル 74%

シャノン・バード 22%

ヤディラ・カラヴェオ 1.4%

デイブ・ヤング 1.1%

Polymarket
新規

マニー・ルティネル

$6,974 Vol.

74%

シャノン・バード

$932 Vol.

22%

ヤディラ・カラヴェオ

$352 Vol.

1%

デイブ・ヤング

$630 Vol.

1%

アミー・バカ＝オーラート

$633 Vol.

1%

ジョン・セムラー

$409 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel's dominant first-quarter fundraising—over $950,000 from more than 60,000 grassroots donors announced April 2—has solidified trader consensus on his frontrunner status in Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary, reflecting momentum in a two-way race with former state Rep. Shannon Bird following the March 17 filing deadline. Cook Political Report frames the contest between these state House veterans, with Rutinel's cash advantage signaling stronger path-to-victory amid GOP attacks highlighting his past animal agriculture criticisms. Former Rep. Yadira Caraveo's September 2025 withdrawal has marginalized challengers like State Treasurer Dave Young and Amie Baca-Oehlert, leaving ballots mailing June 8 for the June 30 primary where early money often tips close primaries.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$9,930
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel's dominant first-quarter fundraising—over $950,000 from more than 60,000 grassroots donors announced April 2—has solidified trader consensus on his frontrunner status in Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary, reflecting momentum in a two-way race with former state Rep. Shannon Bird following the March 17 filing deadline. Cook Political Report frames the contest between these state House veterans, with Rutinel's cash advantage signaling stronger path-to-victory amid GOP attacks highlighting his past animal agriculture criticisms. Former Rep. Yadira Caraveo's September 2025 withdrawal has marginalized challengers like State Treasurer Dave Young and Amie Baca-Oehlert, leaving ballots mailing June 8 for the June 30 primary where early money often tips close primaries.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$9,930
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マニー・ルティネル」で74%、次いで「シャノン・バード」が22%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、74¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に74%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Nov 25, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「マニー・ルティネル」で74%であり、市場がこの結果に74%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「シャノン・バード」で22%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。