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カナダ銀行は4月に決定しましたか?

Market icon

カナダ銀行は4月に決定しましたか?

変更なし 93.3%

利上げ 5.9%

25ベーシスポイントの利下げ 1.3%

50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%

Polymarket

$56,408 Vol.

変更なし 93.3%

利上げ 5.9%

25ベーシスポイントの利下げ 1.3%

50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%

Polymarket

$56,408 Vol.

50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ

$14,174 Vol.

<1%

25ベーシスポイントの利下げ

$20,717 Vol.

1%

変更なし

$13,733 Vol.

93%

利上げ

$7,784 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting. If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 93.6% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its April 29 announcement, anchored by the central bank's March 18 hold at 2.25% amid balanced risks to growth and inflation. February CPI eased to 1.8%—near the 2% target—with core measures stable, offsetting a softening labor market (6.7% unemployment, 84,000 job losses) and Q4 GDP contraction of 0.6%. Upward inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks and US tariffs prompted a cautious pause, with Governing Council signaling readiness to respond to evolving data. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 20 and jobs data; hotter energy-led inflation could revive hike odds, while deeper downturn risks might pressure for a 25 basis points cut.

Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 93.6% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its April 29 announcement, anchored by the central bank's March 18 hold at 2.25% amid balanced risks to growth and inflation. February CPI eased to 1.8%—near the 2% target—with core measures stable, offsetting a softening labor market (6.7% unemployment, 84,000 job losses) and Q4 GDP contraction of 0.6%. Upward inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks and US tariffs prompted a cautious pause, with Governing Council signaling readiness to respond to evolving data. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 20 and jobs data; hotter energy-led inflation could revive hike odds, while deeper downturn risks might pressure for a 25 basis points cut.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting. If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 93.6% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its April 29 announcement, anchored by the central bank's March 18 hold at 2.25% amid balanced risks to growth and inflation. February CPI eased to 1.8%—near the 2% target—with core measures stable, offsetting a softening labor market (6.7% unemployment, 84,000 job losses) and Q4 GDP contraction of 0.6%. Upward inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks and US tariffs prompted a cautious pause, with Governing Council signaling readiness to respond to evolving data. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 20 and jobs data; hotter energy-led inflation could revive hike odds, while deeper downturn risks might pressure for a 25 basis points cut.

Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 93.6% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its April 29 announcement, anchored by the central bank's March 18 hold at 2.25% amid balanced risks to growth and inflation. February CPI eased to 1.8%—near the 2% target—with core measures stable, offsetting a softening labor market (6.7% unemployment, 84,000 job losses) and Q4 GDP contraction of 0.6%. Upward inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks and US tariffs prompted a cautious pause, with Governing Council signaling readiness to respond to evolving data. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 20 and jobs data; hotter energy-led inflation could revive hike odds, while deeper downturn risks might pressure for a 25 basis points cut.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「カナダ銀行は4月に決定しましたか?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「変更なし」で93%、次いで「利上げ」が6%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、93¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に93%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「カナダ銀行は4月に決定しましたか?」は$56.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 31, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「カナダ銀行は4月に決定しましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「カナダ銀行は4月に決定しましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「変更なし」で93%であり、市場がこの結果に93%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「利上げ」で6%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「カナダ銀行は4月に決定しましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。