Polymarket traders price a 55.5% implied probability for the South African Reserve Bank to hold its repo rate steady at 8.25% in the May 28-30 MPC meeting, reflecting economist consensus amid cooling but sticky inflation above the 4.5% midpoint target. April CPI eased to 5.0% year-over-year from 5.3% in March, driven by lower food and fuel prices, while Q1 GDP contracted 0.1% due to energy shortages and weak consumption, boosting cut odds to 21% versus prior levels. Hawkish hike risks linger at 20% from upside electricity tariff pressures and rand volatility, but MPC communications emphasize data dependence. Watch May producer prices and Q2 GDP previews for final positioning shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日据え置き 55%
引き下げ 21%
引き上げ 20%
NEW
NEW
May 28, 2026
引き下げ
21%
据え置き
60%
引き上げ
20%
据え置き 55%
引き下げ 21%
引き上げ 20%
NEW
NEW
May 28, 2026
引き下げ
$0 Vol.
21%
据え置き
$1,234 Vol.
60%
引き上げ
$0 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 55.5% implied probability for the South African Reserve Bank to hold its repo rate steady at 8.25% in the May 28-30 MPC meeting, reflecting economist consensus amid cooling but sticky inflation above the 4.5% midpoint target. April CPI eased to 5.0% year-over-year from 5.3% in March, driven by lower food and fuel prices, while Q1 GDP contracted 0.1% due to energy shortages and weak consumption, boosting cut odds to 21% versus prior levels. Hawkish hike risks linger at 20% from upside electricity tariff pressures and rand volatility, but MPC communications emphasize data dependence. Watch May producer prices and Q2 GDP previews for final positioning shifts.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET
音量
$1,234終了日
May 28, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 55.5% implied probability for the South African Reserve Bank to hold its repo rate steady at 8.25% in the May 28-30 MPC meeting, reflecting economist consensus amid cooling but sticky inflation above the 4.5% midpoint target. April CPI eased to 5.0% year-over-year from 5.3% in March, driven by lower food and fuel prices, while Q1 GDP contracted 0.1% due to energy shortages and weak consumption, boosting cut odds to 21% versus prior levels. Hawkish hike risks linger at 20% from upside electricity tariff pressures and rand volatility, but MPC communications emphasize data dependence. Watch May producer prices and Q2 GDP previews for final positioning shifts.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$1,234終了日
May 28, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 55.5% implied probability for the South African Reserve Bank to hold its repo rate steady at 8.25% in the May 28-30 MPC meeting, reflecting economist consensus amid cooling but sticky inflation above the 4.5% midpoint target. April CPI eased to 5.0% year-over-year from 5.3% in March, driven by lower food and fuel prices, while Q1 GDP contracted 0.1% due to energy shortages and weak consumption, boosting cut odds to 21% versus prior levels. Hawkish hike risks linger at 20% from upside electricity tariff pressures and rand volatility, but MPC communications emphasize data dependence. Watch May producer prices and Q2 GDP previews for final positioning shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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