Trader consensus favors "No" at 76.5% for a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement in 2026, reflecting the absence of any official government statement or parliamentary action as of early April despite earlier signals. In February 2026, AKP deputy speaker Bekir Bozdağ predicted legislative steps to enable President Erdoğan's third-term eligibility under the 2017 presidential system, potentially via early elections per Article 116 or constitutional amendment requiring 360 votes for referendum submission—thresholds unmet by the AKP-MHP coalition's 322 seats following January defections. Recent power consolidation efforts, including judicial appointments and opposition pressures on CHP mayors, have prioritized other reforms over term-limit changes, with no momentum amid procedural hurdles and public polls showing resistance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 76.5% for a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement in 2026, reflecting the absence of any official government statement or parliamentary action as of early April despite earlier signals. In February 2026, AKP deputy speaker Bekir Bozdağ predicted legislative steps to enable President Erdoğan's third-term eligibility under the 2017 presidential system, potentially via early elections per Article 116 or constitutional amendment requiring 360 votes for referendum submission—thresholds unmet by the AKP-MHP coalition's 322 seats following January defections. Recent power consolidation efforts, including judicial appointments and opposition pressures on CHP mayors, have prioritized other reforms over term-limit changes, with no momentum amid procedural hurdles and public polls showing resistance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$241Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 76.5% for a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement in 2026, reflecting the absence of any official government statement or parliamentary action as of early April despite earlier signals. In February 2026, AKP deputy speaker Bekir Bozdağ predicted legislative steps to enable President Erdoğan's third-term eligibility under the 2017 presidential system, potentially via early elections per Article 116 or constitutional amendment requiring 360 votes for referendum submission—thresholds unmet by the AKP-MHP coalition's 322 seats following January defections. Recent power consolidation efforts, including judicial appointments and opposition pressures on CHP mayors, have prioritized other reforms over term-limit changes, with no momentum amid procedural hurdles and public polls showing resistance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$241Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 76.5% for a Turkish constitutional referendum announcement in 2026, reflecting the absence of any official government statement or parliamentary action as of early April despite earlier signals. In February 2026, AKP deputy speaker Bekir Bozdağ predicted legislative steps to enable President Erdoğan's third-term eligibility under the 2017 presidential system, potentially via early elections per Article 116 or constitutional amendment requiring 360 votes for referendum submission—thresholds unmet by the AKP-MHP coalition's 322 seats following January defections. Recent power consolidation efforts, including judicial appointments and opposition pressures on CHP mayors, have prioritized other reforms over term-limit changes, with no momentum amid procedural hurdles and public polls showing resistance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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