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Élections·Primaire De Pennsylvanie

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Élections·Primaire De Pennsylvanie

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bob Brooks 70%

Ryan Crosswell 19%

Lamont McClure 8%

Lewis Shupe 2.9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Bob Brooks 70%

Ryan Crosswell 19%

Lamont McClure 8%

Lewis Shupe 2.9%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Bob Brooks

$540 Vol.

70%

Ryan Crosswell

$912 Vol.

19%

Lamont McClure

$963 Vol.

8%

Lewis Shupe

$1,333 Vol.

3%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$2,953 Vol.

3%

Aiden Gonzalez

$341 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary, set for May 19, heavily favors Bob Brooks at 70% implied probability, propelled by a December Change Research survey showing him surging to 30% among informed Democratic primary voters after biographical reviews, ahead of Ryan Crosswell (18%), Carol Obando-Derstine (17%), and Lamont McClure (17%) with 16% undecided. Brooks, a Bethlehem firefighter and union leader, has consolidated support through recent endorsements from the Working Families Party and Stop Big Money PAC, plus $52,000 in Super PAC backing from Stronger Together PA on March 28. Crosswell trails at 19% on his fundraising edge, holding the most cash on hand into 2026, while McClure's 8% reflects prior Northampton County executive name recognition. Petition deadlines finalized the field around four main contenders by mid-March, narrowing from seven, as lower-tier candidates like Lewis Shupe (3.1%) and Aiden Gonzalez (1.3%) struggle for traction ahead of an April 8 candidate forum in this competitive Lehigh Valley swing district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,042
Date de fin
19 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary, set for May 19, heavily favors Bob Brooks at 70% implied probability, propelled by a December Change Research survey showing him surging to 30% among informed Democratic primary voters after biographical reviews, ahead of Ryan Crosswell (18%), Carol Obando-Derstine (17%), and Lamont McClure (17%) with 16% undecided. Brooks, a Bethlehem firefighter and union leader, has consolidated support through recent endorsements from the Working Families Party and Stop Big Money PAC, plus $52,000 in Super PAC backing from Stronger Together PA on March 28. Crosswell trails at 19% on his fundraising edge, holding the most cash on hand into 2026, while McClure's 8% reflects prior Northampton County executive name recognition. Petition deadlines finalized the field around four main contenders by mid-March, narrowing from seven, as lower-tier candidates like Lewis Shupe (3.1%) and Aiden Gonzalez (1.3%) struggle for traction ahead of an April 8 candidate forum in this competitive Lehigh Valley swing district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,042
Date de fin
19 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Bob Brooks » à 70%, suivi de « Ryan Crosswell » à 19%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 70¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 70% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 20, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est « Bob Brooks » à 70%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 70% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Ryan Crosswell » à 19%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.