Roy Cooper maintains a commanding lead in the North Carolina Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Thom Tillis, with recent polls from Elon University, Harper, and others showing him ahead by 8–11 points among likely voters. As the former Democratic governor with high name recognition and crossover appeal in a state that has trended competitive in federal contests, Cooper benefits from consistent polling advantages and substantial outside spending by Democratic groups. Michael Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC chair endorsed by President Trump, trails despite unified party support and national fundraising. Forecasters have shifted the race to lean Democratic since mid-2026. With roughly three months until the November 3 election, late developments such as shifts in national sentiment, turnout surges, or campaign controversies could still narrow the gap and affect the final outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$89,231 Vol.
$89,231 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
93%
Michael Whatley (R)
9%
$89,231 Vol.
$89,231 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Roy Cooper (D)
$35,013 Vol.
93%
Michael Whatley (R)
$54,218 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper maintains a commanding lead in the North Carolina Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Thom Tillis, with recent polls from Elon University, Harper, and others showing him ahead by 8–11 points among likely voters. As the former Democratic governor with high name recognition and crossover appeal in a state that has trended competitive in federal contests, Cooper benefits from consistent polling advantages and substantial outside spending by Democratic groups. Michael Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC chair endorsed by President Trump, trails despite unified party support and national fundraising. Forecasters have shifted the race to lean Democratic since mid-2026. With roughly three months until the November 3 election, late developments such as shifts in national sentiment, turnout surges, or campaign controversies could still narrow the gap and affect the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$89,231Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Roy Cooper maintains a commanding lead in the North Carolina Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Thom Tillis, with recent polls from Elon University, Harper, and others showing him ahead by 8–11 points among likely voters. As the former Democratic governor with high name recognition and crossover appeal in a state that has trended competitive in federal contests, Cooper benefits from consistent polling advantages and substantial outside spending by Democratic groups. Michael Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC chair endorsed by President Trump, trails despite unified party support and national fundraising. Forecasters have shifted the race to lean Democratic since mid-2026. With roughly three months until the November 3 election, late developments such as shifts in national sentiment, turnout surges, or campaign controversies could still narrow the gap and affect the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$89,231Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Roy Cooper maintains a commanding lead in the North Carolina Senate race for the open seat vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Thom Tillis, with recent polls from Elon University, Harper, and others showing him ahead by 8–11 points among likely voters. As the former Democratic governor with high name recognition and crossover appeal in a state that has trended competitive in federal contests, Cooper benefits from consistent polling advantages and substantial outside spending by Democratic groups. Michael Whatley, the Republican nominee and former RNC chair endorsed by President Trump, trails despite unified party support and national fundraising. Forecasters have shifted the race to lean Democratic since mid-2026. With roughly three months until the November 3 election, late developments such as shifts in national sentiment, turnout surges, or campaign controversies could still narrow the gap and affect the final outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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