Former Governor Roy Cooper's double-digit lead over Republican National Committee chair Michael Whatley in the latest polls, including a March 31 survey showing over a dozen-point advantage, drives trader consensus favoring a Democratic Senate win in North Carolina at 87.5%. Tillis' June 2025 retirement opened this swing-state seat, with Cooper securing the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary leveraging his strong name recognition and two-term gubernatorial record, while Trump-endorsed Whatley prevailed in a competitive GOP primary. Post-primary polling trends have solidified Cooper's edge amid high Democratic enthusiasm, though national headwinds, turnout in battleground areas, and seven months until the November general election leave room for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$42,841 Vol.
$42,841 Vol.

Démocrate
88%

Républicain
11%
$42,841 Vol.
$42,841 Vol.

Démocrate
88%

Républicain
11%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Governor Roy Cooper's double-digit lead over Republican National Committee chair Michael Whatley in the latest polls, including a March 31 survey showing over a dozen-point advantage, drives trader consensus favoring a Democratic Senate win in North Carolina at 87.5%. Tillis' June 2025 retirement opened this swing-state seat, with Cooper securing the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary leveraging his strong name recognition and two-term gubernatorial record, while Trump-endorsed Whatley prevailed in a competitive GOP primary. Post-primary polling trends have solidified Cooper's edge amid high Democratic enthusiasm, though national headwinds, turnout in battleground areas, and seven months until the November general election leave room for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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