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Élections·Magyar

Élections en Hongrie : TISZA remporte___sièges ?

Market icon
Élections·Magyar

Élections en Hongrie : TISZA remporte___sièges ?

$106,972 Vol.

12 avr. 2026
Polymarket

$106,972 Vol.

Polymarket

90+

$15,590 Vol.

83%

100+

$20,539 Vol.

67%

110+

$22,257 Vol.

62%

120+

$10,603 Vol.

52%

130+

$37,984 Vol.

27%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls show Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party surging ahead of incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz by 19–23 percentage points among decided voters, per surveys released April 1. This widening lead, up from prior months, stems from strong youth turnout projections—over 60% under-30 support for Tisza—coupled with massive rallies like the March 15 national march drawing half a million attendees. Seat projections under Hungary's mixed system (106 single-member districts plus 93 proportional list seats) suggest Tisza could claim 97–117 seats, potentially securing a majority in the 199-seat National Assembly. Trader sentiment hinges on final undecided voter shifts and turnout, with Fidesz's incumbency advantages facing erosion amid economic discontent.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$106,972
Date de fin
12 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls show Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party surging ahead of incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz by 19–23 percentage points among decided voters, per surveys released April 1. This widening lead, up from prior months, stems from strong youth turnout projections—over 60% under-30 support for Tisza—coupled with massive rallies like the March 15 national march drawing half a million attendees. Seat projections under Hungary's mixed system (106 single-member districts plus 93 proportional list seats) suggest Tisza could claim 97–117 seats, potentially securing a majority in the 199-seat National Assembly. Trader sentiment hinges on final undecided voter shifts and turnout, with Fidesz's incumbency advantages facing erosion amid economic discontent.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$106,972
Date de fin
12 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

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Questions fréquentes

« Élections en Hongrie : TISZA remporte___sièges ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 90+ » à 83%, suivi de « 100+ » à 67%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 83¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élections en Hongrie : TISZA remporte___sièges ? » a généré $107K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 16, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élections en Hongrie : TISZA remporte___sièges ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élections en Hongrie : TISZA remporte___sièges ? » est « 90+ » à 83%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 100+ » à 67%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élections en Hongrie : TISZA remporte___sièges ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.