Market icon

Décision de la Banque de Russie en mars ?

Market icon

Décision de la Banque de Russie en mars ?

Baisse 100.0%

Aucun changement <1%

Augmentation <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Baisse 100.0%

Aucun changement <1%

Augmentation <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Baisse

$0 Vol.

Oui

Aucun changement

$0 Vol.

Non

Augmentation

$0 Vol.

Non

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its March 20, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their March 20, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders have locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the March meeting, driven primarily by decelerating inflation—CPI eased to 8.4% year-over-year in September from a 9.6% peak—and softening economic growth amid sanctions pressure and ruble stabilization around 97-100/USD. Official data from Rosstat and CBR statements highlight receding inflationary pressures, enabling the first cuts in the easing cycle after recent hikes to 21%. This consensus reflects real-money positioning on pro-easing rhetoric from Governor Nabiullina. Challenges could arise from unexpected ruble weakness, renewed war-spending inflation, or hotter-than-expected December CPI, potentially forcing a hold or hike. Watch the December 20 FOMC counterpart for global yield cues.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its March 20, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their March 20, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
20 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 29, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its March 20, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their March 20, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its March 20, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their March 20, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders have locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the March meeting, driven primarily by decelerating inflation—CPI eased to 8.4% year-over-year in September from a 9.6% peak—and softening economic growth amid sanctions pressure and ruble stabilization around 97-100/USD. Official data from Rosstat and CBR statements highlight receding inflationary pressures, enabling the first cuts in the easing cycle after recent hikes to 21%. This consensus reflects real-money positioning on pro-easing rhetoric from Governor Nabiullina. Challenges could arise from unexpected ruble weakness, renewed war-spending inflation, or hotter-than-expected December CPI, potentially forcing a hold or hike. Watch the December 20 FOMC counterpart for global yield cues.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its March 20, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their March 20, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
20 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 29, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its March 20, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their March 20, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Décision de la Banque de Russie en mars ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Baisse » à 100%, suivi de « Aucun changement » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Décision de la Banque de Russie en mars ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Dec 29, 2025. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Décision de la Banque de Russie en mars ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Décision de la Banque de Russie en mars ? » est « Baisse » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Aucun changement » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Décision de la Banque de Russie en mars ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.