Universal's rom-com You, Me & Tuscany, starring Halle Bailey and Regé-Jean Page, saw trader consensus lock in at 100% for an opening weekend under $8 million following Friday estimates of $3.16 million from 3,151 theaters and three-day projections clustering at $7.7–$8 million. Soft presales, underwhelming tracking forecasts of $8–12 million, and fierce competition from Super Mario Galaxy Movie's dominant $69 million second weekend crushed momentum for this Black-led love story set in Italy. Mixed critical reception and a post-pandemic rom-com market wary of mid-budget theatricals further dimmed prospects. An upset above $8 million would require an improbable final tally revision upward, but current data from Box Office Mojo and industry trackers solidifies the sub-$8 million outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office
"You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m 100.0%
8-9m <1%
9-10m <1%
10-11m <1%
$270,322 Vol.
$270,322 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
<8m
Yes
8-9m
No
9-10m
No
10-11m
No
>11m
No
<8m 100.0%
8-9m <1%
9-10m <1%
10-11m <1%
$270,322 Vol.
$270,322 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
<8m
$75,086 Vol.
Yes
8-9m
$59,081 Vol.
No
9-10m
$61,371 Vol.
No
10-11m
$41,716 Vol.
No
>11m
$33,067 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to how much "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Universal's rom-com You, Me & Tuscany, starring Halle Bailey and Regé-Jean Page, saw trader consensus lock in at 100% for an opening weekend under $8 million following Friday estimates of $3.16 million from 3,151 theaters and three-day projections clustering at $7.7–$8 million. Soft presales, underwhelming tracking forecasts of $8–12 million, and fierce competition from Super Mario Galaxy Movie's dominant $69 million second weekend crushed momentum for this Black-led love story set in Italy. Mixed critical reception and a post-pandemic rom-com market wary of mid-budget theatricals further dimmed prospects. An upset above $8 million would require an improbable final tally revision upward, but current data from Box Office Mojo and industry trackers solidifies the sub-$8 million outcome.
This market will resolve according to how much "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Volume
$270,322End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to how much "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Universal's rom-com You, Me & Tuscany, starring Halle Bailey and Regé-Jean Page, saw trader consensus lock in at 100% for an opening weekend under $8 million following Friday estimates of $3.16 million from 3,151 theaters and three-day projections clustering at $7.7–$8 million. Soft presales, underwhelming tracking forecasts of $8–12 million, and fierce competition from Super Mario Galaxy Movie's dominant $69 million second weekend crushed momentum for this Black-led love story set in Italy. Mixed critical reception and a post-pandemic rom-com market wary of mid-budget theatricals further dimmed prospects. An upset above $8 million would require an improbable final tally revision upward, but current data from Box Office Mojo and industry trackers solidifies the sub-$8 million outcome.
This market will resolve according to how much "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$270,322End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Universal's rom-com You, Me & Tuscany, starring Halle Bailey and Regé-Jean Page, saw trader consensus lock in at 100% for an opening weekend under $8 million following Friday estimates of $3.16 million from 3,151 theaters and three-day projections clustering at $7.7–$8 million. Soft presales, underwhelming tracking forecasts of $8–12 million, and fierce competition from Super Mario Galaxy Movie's dominant $69 million second weekend crushed momentum for this Black-led love story set in Italy. Mixed critical reception and a post-pandemic rom-com market wary of mid-budget theatricals further dimmed prospects. An upset above $8 million would require an improbable final tally revision upward, but current data from Box Office Mojo and industry trackers solidifies the sub-$8 million outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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