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Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?

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Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$991,254 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$991,254 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final Republican ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of Donald Trump and J.D. Vance. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the official Republican nominees for president and vice president as of November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

If either of these nominees drop out from the election or otherwise lose the official nomination of their party for the respective presidential and vice presidential roles, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Note that whether Trump-Vance are on state ballots will have no bearing on this market - only their status as the Republican nominees will be considered. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either of these candidates from continuing the race, this market will also immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official US governmental sources, and the Republican party (e.g. https://gop.com/, etc.).
Volume
$991,254
End Date
Nov 4, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2024, 4:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final Republican ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of Donald Trump and J.D. Vance. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official Republican nominees for president and vice president as of November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If either of these nominees drop out from the election or otherwise lose the official nomination of their party for the respective presidential and vice presidential roles, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Note that whether Trump-Vance are on state ballots will have no bearing on this market - only their status as the Republican nominees will be considered. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either of these candidates from continuing the race, this market will also immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official US governmental sources, and the Republican party (e.g. https://gop.com/, etc.).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final Republican ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of Donald Trump and J.D. Vance. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the official Republican nominees for president and vice president as of November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

If either of these nominees drop out from the election or otherwise lose the official nomination of their party for the respective presidential and vice presidential roles, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Note that whether Trump-Vance are on state ballots will have no bearing on this market - only their status as the Republican nominees will be considered. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either of these candidates from continuing the race, this market will also immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official US governmental sources, and the Republican party (e.g. https://gop.com/, etc.).
Volume
$991,254
End Date
Nov 4, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2024, 4:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final Republican ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of Donald Trump and J.D. Vance. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official Republican nominees for president and vice president as of November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If either of these nominees drop out from the election or otherwise lose the official nomination of their party for the respective presidential and vice presidential roles, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Note that whether Trump-Vance are on state ballots will have no bearing on this market - only their status as the Republican nominees will be considered. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either of these candidates from continuing the race, this market will also immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official US governmental sources, and the Republican party (e.g. https://gop.com/, etc.).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?" has generated $991.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 6, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.