President Donald Trump's continued execution of official duties, including signing executive orders on medical research as recently as April 18, 2026, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 93.5% for resignation by year-end. The White House swiftly debunked early April social media rumors of a health crisis at Walter Reed, labeling them fabricated and releasing counter-evidence. Democratic efforts, such as Rep. John Larson's April 7 impeachment resolution, face negligible prospects in the Republican-controlled Congress, echoing historical patterns where prior impeachments failed to force exit. Speculation from strategist James Carville about post-midterm withdrawal remains unsubstantiated partisan commentary without institutional momentum. Absent scandals, legal pressures, or health disclosures, traders see low risk through December 31, 2026, though 2026 midterms could introduce volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's continued execution of official duties, including signing executive orders on medical research as recently as April 18, 2026, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 93.5% for resignation by year-end. The White House swiftly debunked early April social media rumors of a health crisis at Walter Reed, labeling them fabricated and releasing counter-evidence. Democratic efforts, such as Rep. John Larson's April 7 impeachment resolution, face negligible prospects in the Republican-controlled Congress, echoing historical patterns where prior impeachments failed to force exit. Speculation from strategist James Carville about post-midterm withdrawal remains unsubstantiated partisan commentary without institutional momentum. Absent scandals, legal pressures, or health disclosures, traders see low risk through December 31, 2026, though 2026 midterms could introduce volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$431,570End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump's continued execution of official duties, including signing executive orders on medical research as recently as April 18, 2026, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 93.5% for resignation by year-end. The White House swiftly debunked early April social media rumors of a health crisis at Walter Reed, labeling them fabricated and releasing counter-evidence. Democratic efforts, such as Rep. John Larson's April 7 impeachment resolution, face negligible prospects in the Republican-controlled Congress, echoing historical patterns where prior impeachments failed to force exit. Speculation from strategist James Carville about post-midterm withdrawal remains unsubstantiated partisan commentary without institutional momentum. Absent scandals, legal pressures, or health disclosures, traders see low risk through December 31, 2026, though 2026 midterms could introduce volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$431,570End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...President Donald Trump's continued execution of official duties, including signing executive orders on medical research as recently as April 18, 2026, underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 93.5% for resignation by year-end. The White House swiftly debunked early April social media rumors of a health crisis at Walter Reed, labeling them fabricated and releasing counter-evidence. Democratic efforts, such as Rep. John Larson's April 7 impeachment resolution, face negligible prospects in the Republican-controlled Congress, echoing historical patterns where prior impeachments failed to force exit. Speculation from strategist James Carville about post-midterm withdrawal remains unsubstantiated partisan commentary without institutional momentum. Absent scandals, legal pressures, or health disclosures, traders see low risk through December 31, 2026, though 2026 midterms could introduce volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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