Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline?
$89,399 Vol.
Rules
On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs above the 10% baseline on 76 countries (59 countries specifically listed and the EU). On April 9, Trump suspended all these tariffs other than those on China for 90 days until July 9, 2025, 12:01 AM ET (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces he will further delay, remove or lower the "reciprocal" tariff on imports from 38 of the countries by July 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions that lower, further delay, or remove the general ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on imports from the relevant countries will qualify, however item specific exceptions or changes to tariffs which are not the general reciprocal tariff will not count.
A reduction in the reciprocal 20% tariff on the EU will count for all 27 countries. A reduction in the reciprocal tariff on a specific EU member state will also count towards the total.
The removal or reduction of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S. will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces he will further delay, remove or lower the "reciprocal" tariff on imports from 38 of the countries by July 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions that lower, further delay, or remove the general ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on imports from the relevant countries will qualify, however item specific exceptions or changes to tariffs which are not the general reciprocal tariff will not count.
A reduction in the reciprocal 20% tariff on the EU will count for all 27 countries. A reduction in the reciprocal tariff on a specific EU member state will also count towards the total.
The removal or reduction of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S. will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Created At: Apr 10, 2025, 5:58 PM
Volume
$89,399End Date
Jul 8, 2025Created At
Apr 10, 2025, 5:58 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$89,399 Vol.
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline?
About
On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs above the 10% baseline on 76 countries (59 countries specifically listed and the EU). On April 9, Trump suspended all these tariffs other than those on China for 90 days until July 9, 2025, 12:01 AM ET (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces he will further delay, remove or lower the "reciprocal" tariff on imports from 38 of the countries by July 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions that lower, further delay, or remove the general ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on imports from the relevant countries will qualify, however item specific exceptions or changes to tariffs which are not the general reciprocal tariff will not count.
A reduction in the reciprocal 20% tariff on the EU will count for all 27 countries. A reduction in the reciprocal tariff on a specific EU member state will also count towards the total.
The removal or reduction of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S. will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces he will further delay, remove or lower the "reciprocal" tariff on imports from 38 of the countries by July 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions that lower, further delay, or remove the general ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on imports from the relevant countries will qualify, however item specific exceptions or changes to tariffs which are not the general reciprocal tariff will not count.
A reduction in the reciprocal 20% tariff on the EU will count for all 27 countries. A reduction in the reciprocal tariff on a specific EU member state will also count towards the total.
The removal or reduction of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S. will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Volume
$89,399End Date
Jul 8, 2025Created At
Apr 10, 2025, 5:58 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
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