Trader consensus prices Yes shares above 85¢ across daily outcomes through April 30, reflecting Donald Trump's consistent pattern of personal insults via Truth Social and public remarks amid escalating tensions, including calling Pope Leo XIV a "weak loser" for criticizing the Iran military action and mocking California Governor Gavin Newsom's dyslexia on April 18. Recent barbs targeted Fox News host Jessica Tarlov as a "real loser," Megyn Kelly as "overrated," Alex Jones as "bankrupt and fried," and Candace Owens as "dumb and mentally ill," reinforcing expectations of daily attacks on critics, media figures, and political opponents. No lull in activity noted; resolution hinges on verifiable public statements per market rules, with ongoing foreign policy disputes and press interactions as potential catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$181,888 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
April 18
55%
April 19
80%
April 20
89%
April 21
88%
April 22
84%
April 23
86%
April 24
86%
April 25
89%
April 26
83%
April 27
87%
April 28
85%
April 29
81%
April 30
84%
$181,888 Vol.
April 18
$13,809 Vol.
55%
April 19
$3,882 Vol.
80%
April 20
$4,049 Vol.
89%
April 21
$7,316 Vol.
88%
April 22
$4,983 Vol.
84%
April 23
$8,438 Vol.
86%
April 24
$7,087 Vol.
86%
April 25
$5,988 Vol.
89%
April 26
$3,065 Vol.
83%
April 27
$6,754 Vol.
87%
April 28
$970 Vol.
85%
April 29
$4,214 Vol.
81%
April 30
$1,066 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices Yes shares above 85¢ across daily outcomes through April 30, reflecting Donald Trump's consistent pattern of personal insults via Truth Social and public remarks amid escalating tensions, including calling Pope Leo XIV a "weak loser" for criticizing the Iran military action and mocking California Governor Gavin Newsom's dyslexia on April 18. Recent barbs targeted Fox News host Jessica Tarlov as a "real loser," Megyn Kelly as "overrated," Alex Jones as "bankrupt and fried," and Candace Owens as "dumb and mentally ill," reinforcing expectations of daily attacks on critics, media figures, and political opponents. No lull in activity noted; resolution hinges on verifiable public statements per market rules, with ongoing foreign policy disputes and press interactions as potential catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volume
$181,888End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices Yes shares above 85¢ across daily outcomes through April 30, reflecting Donald Trump's consistent pattern of personal insults via Truth Social and public remarks amid escalating tensions, including calling Pope Leo XIV a "weak loser" for criticizing the Iran military action and mocking California Governor Gavin Newsom's dyslexia on April 18. Recent barbs targeted Fox News host Jessica Tarlov as a "real loser," Megyn Kelly as "overrated," Alex Jones as "bankrupt and fried," and Candace Owens as "dumb and mentally ill," reinforcing expectations of daily attacks on critics, media figures, and political opponents. No lull in activity noted; resolution hinges on verifiable public statements per market rules, with ongoing foreign policy disputes and press interactions as potential catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$181,888End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices Yes shares above 85¢ across daily outcomes through April 30, reflecting Donald Trump's consistent pattern of personal insults via Truth Social and public remarks amid escalating tensions, including calling Pope Leo XIV a "weak loser" for criticizing the Iran military action and mocking California Governor Gavin Newsom's dyslexia on April 18. Recent barbs targeted Fox News host Jessica Tarlov as a "real loser," Megyn Kelly as "overrated," Alex Jones as "bankrupt and fried," and Candace Owens as "dumb and mentally ill," reinforcing expectations of daily attacks on critics, media figures, and political opponents. No lull in activity noted; resolution hinges on verifiable public statements per market rules, with ongoing foreign policy disputes and press interactions as potential catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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