President Donald Trump triggered near-certain Yes odds on this market with a Truth Social post this morning, April 11, stating "their longtime ‘Leaders’ are no longer with us, praise be to Allah!" amid ongoing U.S. military actions against Iran, including Strait of Hormuz operations and claims of destroying Iranian naval and air assets. This marks his second use of the phrase in recent weeks, following an Easter Sunday message, solidifying trader consensus that the event occurred well before the April 15 deadline. While markets at 100% Yes reflect this verifiable public statement, rare resolution disputes over interpretive criteria—like whether the context qualifies as genuine praise—remain theoretically possible, though improbable given precedent for similar rhetorical markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$974,824 Vol.
$974,824 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
$974,824 Vol.
$974,824 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.President Donald Trump triggered near-certain Yes odds on this market with a Truth Social post this morning, April 11, stating "their longtime ‘Leaders’ are no longer with us, praise be to Allah!" amid ongoing U.S. military actions against Iran, including Strait of Hormuz operations and claims of destroying Iranian naval and air assets. This marks his second use of the phrase in recent weeks, following an Easter Sunday message, solidifying trader consensus that the event occurred well before the April 15 deadline. While markets at 100% Yes reflect this verifiable public statement, rare resolution disputes over interpretive criteria—like whether the context qualifies as genuine praise—remain theoretically possible, though improbable given precedent for similar rhetorical markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Volume
$974,824End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.President Donald Trump triggered near-certain Yes odds on this market with a Truth Social post this morning, April 11, stating "their longtime ‘Leaders’ are no longer with us, praise be to Allah!" amid ongoing U.S. military actions against Iran, including Strait of Hormuz operations and claims of destroying Iranian naval and air assets. This marks his second use of the phrase in recent weeks, following an Easter Sunday message, solidifying trader consensus that the event occurred well before the April 15 deadline. While markets at 100% Yes reflect this verifiable public statement, rare resolution disputes over interpretive criteria—like whether the context qualifies as genuine praise—remain theoretically possible, though improbable given precedent for similar rhetorical markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Volume
$974,824End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
President Donald Trump triggered near-certain Yes odds on this market with a Truth Social post this morning, April 11, stating "their longtime ‘Leaders’ are no longer with us, praise be to Allah!" amid ongoing U.S. military actions against Iran, including Strait of Hormuz operations and claims of destroying Iranian naval and air assets. This marks his second use of the phrase in recent weeks, following an Easter Sunday message, solidifying trader consensus that the event occurred well before the April 15 deadline. While markets at 100% Yes reflect this verifiable public statement, rare resolution disputes over interpretive criteria—like whether the context qualifies as genuine praise—remain theoretically possible, though improbable given precedent for similar rhetorical markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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