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Will Trump invoke Alien Enemies Act for deportations to Guantanamo?

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Will Trump invoke Alien Enemies Act for deportations to Guantanamo?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$15,011 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$15,011 Vol.

On March 13, it was reported that Donald Trump intended to use the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to deport illegal immigrants to Guantanamo Bay. You can read more about that here: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-alien-enemies-act-1798-deportations-guantanamo/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump invokes the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 as a legal basis for any deportations to Guantanamo Bay by March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying deportations do not need to be carried out within this market's timeframe, only initiated using this act as the legal basis for the action.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$15,011
End Date
Mar 31, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
On March 13, it was reported that Donald Trump intended to use the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to deport illegal immigrants to Guantanamo Bay. You can read more about that here: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-alien-enemies-act-1798-deportations-guantanamo/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump invokes the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 as a legal basis for any deportations to Guantanamo Bay by March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying deportations do not need to be carried out within this market's timeframe, only initiated using this act as the legal basis for the action. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

On March 13, it was reported that Donald Trump intended to use the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to deport illegal immigrants to Guantanamo Bay. You can read more about that here: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-alien-enemies-act-1798-deportations-guantanamo/

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump invokes the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 as a legal basis for any deportations to Guantanamo Bay by March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying deportations do not need to be carried out within this market's timeframe, only initiated using this act as the legal basis for the action.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$15,011
End Date
Mar 31, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
On March 13, it was reported that Donald Trump intended to use the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to deport illegal immigrants to Guantanamo Bay. You can read more about that here: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-alien-enemies-act-1798-deportations-guantanamo/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump invokes the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 as a legal basis for any deportations to Guantanamo Bay by March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying deportations do not need to be carried out within this market's timeframe, only initiated using this act as the legal basis for the action. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump invoke Alien Enemies Act for deportations to Guantanamo?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump invoke Alien Enemies Act for deportations to Guantanamo?" has generated $15K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump invoke Alien Enemies Act for deportations to Guantanamo?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump invoke Alien Enemies Act for deportations to Guantanamo?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump invoke Alien Enemies Act for deportations to Guantanamo?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.