Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before October?

$17,968 Vol.

<1% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be withdrawing all military forces from Syria by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official policy announcements will qualify.

Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, announcements of a partial withdrawal, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,968
End Date
Sep 30, 2025
Created At
Jun 26, 2025, 10:14 PM

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$17,968 Vol.

Market icon

Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before October?

<1% chance

About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be withdrawing all military forces from Syria by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official policy announcements will qualify.

Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, announcements of a partial withdrawal, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,968
End Date
Sep 30, 2025
Created At
Jun 26, 2025, 10:14 PM

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No