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Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?

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Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$81,941 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$81,941 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump officially announces that a deal for the sale or restructuring of TikTok’s U.S. operations has been finalized by Thursday, October 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official policy or transaction announcements will qualify.

Informal statements, expressions of intent, ongoing negotiations, or reports of progress without a formal announcement of a completed deal will not be considered. Statements such as US treasury secretary Scott Bessent's October 26 claims that “We reached [a deal] in Madrid, and I believe that as of today, all the details are ironed out, and that will be for the two leaders to consummate that transaction” do not constitute an official policy announcement and will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$81,941
End Date
Oct 30, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 27, 2025, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump officially announces that a deal for the sale or restructuring of TikTok’s U.S. operations has been finalized by Thursday, October 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official policy or transaction announcements will qualify. Informal statements, expressions of intent, ongoing negotiations, or reports of progress without a formal announcement of a completed deal will not be considered. Statements such as US treasury secretary Scott Bessent's October 26 claims that “We reached [a deal] in Madrid, and I believe that as of today, all the details are ironed out, and that will be for the two leaders to consummate that transaction” do not constitute an official policy announcement and will not qualify. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump officially announces that a deal for the sale or restructuring of TikTok’s U.S. operations has been finalized by Thursday, October 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official policy or transaction announcements will qualify.

Informal statements, expressions of intent, ongoing negotiations, or reports of progress without a formal announcement of a completed deal will not be considered. Statements such as US treasury secretary Scott Bessent's October 26 claims that “We reached [a deal] in Madrid, and I believe that as of today, all the details are ironed out, and that will be for the two leaders to consummate that transaction” do not constitute an official policy announcement and will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$81,941
End Date
Oct 30, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 27, 2025, 7:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump officially announces that a deal for the sale or restructuring of TikTok’s U.S. operations has been finalized by Thursday, October 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official policy or transaction announcements will qualify. Informal statements, expressions of intent, ongoing negotiations, or reports of progress without a formal announcement of a completed deal will not be considered. Statements such as US treasury secretary Scott Bessent's October 26 claims that “We reached [a deal] in Madrid, and I believe that as of today, all the details are ironed out, and that will be for the two leaders to consummate that transaction” do not constitute an official policy announcement and will not qualify. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?" has generated $81.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.