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Will Shane Gillis do a Trump impression on SNL?

Market icon

Will Shane Gillis do a Trump impression on SNL?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$3,578 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$3,578 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shane Gillis performs an impression of Donald Trump during his appearance on Saturday Night Live on March 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A ‘performance’ includes:
- A verbal impression in which Gillis mimics Trump's voice, speech patterns, or mannerisms.
- A nonverbal impression (such as exaggerated facial expressions or body language) only if it is clearly intended as a Trump impersonation.

Simply referencing Trump, mentioning his name, or appearing in a sketch about Trump without attempting an impression will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be official footage of Shane Gillis’ SNL appearance, including the live TV broadcast and recordings published on Saturday Night Live’s official platforms. If Gillis' appearance on SNL is canceled or postponed beyond December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No."
Volume
$3,578
End Date
Mar 1, 2025
Market Opened
Feb 28, 2025, 1:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shane Gillis performs an impression of Donald Trump during his appearance on Saturday Night Live on March 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A ‘performance’ includes: - A verbal impression in which Gillis mimics Trump's voice, speech patterns, or mannerisms. - A nonverbal impression (such as exaggerated facial expressions or body language) only if it is clearly intended as a Trump impersonation. Simply referencing Trump, mentioning his name, or appearing in a sketch about Trump without attempting an impression will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official footage of Shane Gillis’ SNL appearance, including the live TV broadcast and recordings published on Saturday Night Live’s official platforms. If Gillis' appearance on SNL is canceled or postponed beyond December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No."

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shane Gillis performs an impression of Donald Trump during his appearance on Saturday Night Live on March 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A ‘performance’ includes:
- A verbal impression in which Gillis mimics Trump's voice, speech patterns, or mannerisms.
- A nonverbal impression (such as exaggerated facial expressions or body language) only if it is clearly intended as a Trump impersonation.

Simply referencing Trump, mentioning his name, or appearing in a sketch about Trump without attempting an impression will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be official footage of Shane Gillis’ SNL appearance, including the live TV broadcast and recordings published on Saturday Night Live’s official platforms. If Gillis' appearance on SNL is canceled or postponed beyond December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No."
Volume
$3,578
End Date
Mar 1, 2025
Market Opened
Feb 28, 2025, 1:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shane Gillis performs an impression of Donald Trump during his appearance on Saturday Night Live on March 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A ‘performance’ includes: - A verbal impression in which Gillis mimics Trump's voice, speech patterns, or mannerisms. - A nonverbal impression (such as exaggerated facial expressions or body language) only if it is clearly intended as a Trump impersonation. Simply referencing Trump, mentioning his name, or appearing in a sketch about Trump without attempting an impression will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official footage of Shane Gillis’ SNL appearance, including the live TV broadcast and recordings published on Saturday Night Live’s official platforms. If Gillis' appearance on SNL is canceled or postponed beyond December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No."

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Shane Gillis do a Trump impression on SNL?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Shane Gillis do a Trump impression on SNL?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 28, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Shane Gillis do a Trump impression on SNL?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Shane Gillis do a Trump impression on SNL?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Shane Gillis do a Trump impression on SNL?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.