Market icon

Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?

$108,047 Vol.

<1% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly refers to Donald Trump as a "pedophile" between July 7, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and July 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Comments that merely insinuate or imply that Trump is a pedophile—without explicitly using the term—will not qualify. For example, the post at https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1942132189229162960 would not qualify.

Musk must use the word "pedophile" or a direct variant such as "pedo" or "pedophilic" in reference to Donald Trump. A direct reference will qualify even if Trump is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear he is the subject. Describing Trump as a pedophile without using one of the qualifying terms will not count.

Statements such as “I would not refer to Trump as a pedophile” or “I have never called Trump a pedophile” will not qualify, as they do not constitute a direct usage of the qualifying terms in reference to Trump.

Any written or verbal usage will qualify.

The resolution source will be public statements from Elon Musk.
Volume
$108,047
End Date
Jul 11, 2025
Created At
Jul 7, 2025, 10:27 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.

$108,047 Vol.

Market icon

Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?

<1% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly refers to Donald Trump as a "pedophile" between July 7, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and July 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Comments that merely insinuate or imply that Trump is a pedophile—without explicitly using the term—will not qualify. For example, the post at https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1942132189229162960 would not qualify.

Musk must use the word "pedophile" or a direct variant such as "pedo" or "pedophilic" in reference to Donald Trump. A direct reference will qualify even if Trump is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear he is the subject. Describing Trump as a pedophile without using one of the qualifying terms will not count.

Statements such as “I would not refer to Trump as a pedophile” or “I have never called Trump a pedophile” will not qualify, as they do not constitute a direct usage of the qualifying terms in reference to Trump.

Any written or verbal usage will qualify.

The resolution source will be public statements from Elon Musk.
Volume
$108,047
End Date
Jul 11, 2025
Created At
Jul 7, 2025, 10:27 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.