Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?
$108,047 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly refers to Donald Trump as a "pedophile" between July 7, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and July 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Comments that merely insinuate or imply that Trump is a pedophile—without explicitly using the term—will not qualify. For example, the post at https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1942132189229162960 would not qualify.
Musk must use the word "pedophile" or a direct variant such as "pedo" or "pedophilic" in reference to Donald Trump. A direct reference will qualify even if Trump is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear he is the subject. Describing Trump as a pedophile without using one of the qualifying terms will not count.
Statements such as “I would not refer to Trump as a pedophile” or “I have never called Trump a pedophile” will not qualify, as they do not constitute a direct usage of the qualifying terms in reference to Trump.
Any written or verbal usage will qualify.
The resolution source will be public statements from Elon Musk.
Comments that merely insinuate or imply that Trump is a pedophile—without explicitly using the term—will not qualify. For example, the post at https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1942132189229162960 would not qualify.
Musk must use the word "pedophile" or a direct variant such as "pedo" or "pedophilic" in reference to Donald Trump. A direct reference will qualify even if Trump is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear he is the subject. Describing Trump as a pedophile without using one of the qualifying terms will not count.
Statements such as “I would not refer to Trump as a pedophile” or “I have never called Trump a pedophile” will not qualify, as they do not constitute a direct usage of the qualifying terms in reference to Trump.
Any written or verbal usage will qualify.
The resolution source will be public statements from Elon Musk.
Created At: Jul 7, 2025, 10:27 PM UTC
Volume
$108,047End Date
Jul 11, 2025Created At
Jul 7, 2025, 10:27 PM UTCResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$108,047 Vol.
Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly refers to Donald Trump as a "pedophile" between July 7, 2025, 6:00 PM ET and July 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Comments that merely insinuate or imply that Trump is a pedophile—without explicitly using the term—will not qualify. For example, the post at https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1942132189229162960 would not qualify.
Musk must use the word "pedophile" or a direct variant such as "pedo" or "pedophilic" in reference to Donald Trump. A direct reference will qualify even if Trump is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear he is the subject. Describing Trump as a pedophile without using one of the qualifying terms will not count.
Statements such as “I would not refer to Trump as a pedophile” or “I have never called Trump a pedophile” will not qualify, as they do not constitute a direct usage of the qualifying terms in reference to Trump.
Any written or verbal usage will qualify.
The resolution source will be public statements from Elon Musk.
Comments that merely insinuate or imply that Trump is a pedophile—without explicitly using the term—will not qualify. For example, the post at https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1942132189229162960 would not qualify.
Musk must use the word "pedophile" or a direct variant such as "pedo" or "pedophilic" in reference to Donald Trump. A direct reference will qualify even if Trump is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear he is the subject. Describing Trump as a pedophile without using one of the qualifying terms will not count.
Statements such as “I would not refer to Trump as a pedophile” or “I have never called Trump a pedophile” will not qualify, as they do not constitute a direct usage of the qualifying terms in reference to Trump.
Any written or verbal usage will qualify.
The resolution source will be public statements from Elon Musk.
Volume
$108,047End Date
Jul 11, 2025Created At
Jul 7, 2025, 10:27 PM UTCResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
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