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Will Biden say "Health" during dropout speech?

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Will Biden say "Health" during dropout speech?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$17,697 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$17,697 Vol.

Joe Biden is scheduled to give a speech Wednesday July 24, about his decision to end his reelection campaign. This market refers to anything Biden says during the first speech he gives addressing his decision to withdraw from the Presidential race. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Health" or "Healthy" . Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Biden does not give a speech addressing his decision to withdraw from the Presidential race by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Health" or "Healthy" is part of the compound word which refers to physical, mental, or emotional well-being. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Joe Biden is scheduled to give a speech Wednesday July 24, about his decision to end his reelection campaign. This market refers to anything Biden says during the first speech he gives addressing his decision to withdraw from the Presidential race.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Health" or "Healthy" . Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Biden does not give a speech addressing his decision to withdraw from the Presidential race by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Health" or "Healthy" is part of the compound word which refers to physical, mental, or emotional well-being.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Volume
$17,697
End Date
Jul 24, 2024
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2024, 6:02 PM ET
Joe Biden is scheduled to give a speech Wednesday July 24, about his decision to end his reelection campaign. This market refers to anything Biden says during the first speech he gives addressing his decision to withdraw from the Presidential race. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Health" or "Healthy" . Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Biden does not give a speech addressing his decision to withdraw from the Presidential race by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Health" or "Healthy" is part of the compound word which refers to physical, mental, or emotional well-being. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Joe Biden is scheduled to give a speech Wednesday July 24, about his decision to end his reelection campaign. This market refers to anything Biden says during the first speech he gives addressing his decision to withdraw from the Presidential race. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Health" or "Healthy" . Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Biden does not give a speech addressing his decision to withdraw from the Presidential race by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Health" or "Healthy" is part of the compound word which refers to physical, mental, or emotional well-being. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Joe Biden is scheduled to give a speech Wednesday July 24, about his decision to end his reelection campaign. This market refers to anything Biden says during the first speech he gives addressing his decision to withdraw from the Presidential race.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Health" or "Healthy" . Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If Biden does not give a speech addressing his decision to withdraw from the Presidential race by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Health" or "Healthy" is part of the compound word which refers to physical, mental, or emotional well-being.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Volume
$17,697
End Date
Jul 24, 2024
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2024, 6:02 PM ET
Joe Biden is scheduled to give a speech Wednesday July 24, about his decision to end his reelection campaign. This market refers to anything Biden says during the first speech he gives addressing his decision to withdraw from the Presidential race. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Health" or "Healthy" . Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Biden does not give a speech addressing his decision to withdraw from the Presidential race by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Health" or "Healthy" is part of the compound word which refers to physical, mental, or emotional well-being. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Biden say "Health" during dropout speech?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Biden say "Health" during dropout speech?" has generated $17.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Biden say "Health" during dropout speech?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Biden say "Health" during dropout speech?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Biden say "Health" during dropout speech?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.