Market icon
Politics·Venezuela

Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?

Market icon
Politics·Venezuela

Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?

$62,005 Vol.

Polymarket

$62,005 Vol.

Polymarket

Dinorah Figuera

$0 Vol.

No

Marco Rubio

$8,552 Vol.

No

Pete Hegseth

$1,775 Vol.

No

JD Vance

$1,717 Vol.

No

John Ratcliffe

$3,618 Vol.

Yes

Emmanuel Macron

$3,445 Vol.

No

Keir Starmer

$3,001 Vol.

No

Karoline Leavitt

$0 Vol.

No

Larry Fink

$0 Vol.

No

Edmundo González Urrutia

$0 Vol.

No

María Corina Machado

$18,777 Vol.

No

Charles Myers

$1,329 Vol.

Yes

Richard Grenell

$637 Vol.

No

Dan Caine

$1,170 Vol.

No

Jared Kushner

$1,016 Vol.

No

Donald Trump

$3,189 Vol.

No

Nicolás Maduro

$13,780 Vol.

No

Jamie Dimon

$0 Vol.

No

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the US military operation in early 2026 that removed Nicolás Maduro from power, diplomatic ties rapidly thawed, with the US and Venezuela agreeing in March to restore full relations and reopening the embassy in Caracas on March 30—just before the market deadline. US charge d'affaires Laura Dogu arrived in February to spearhead normalization, while business delegations from Wall Street firms scouted energy and infrastructure opportunities in late March, hosted by acting president Delcy Rodríguez. These developments drove trader sentiment toward Trump administration figures like Richard Grenell, Marco Rubio, and Pete Hegseth as likely visitors, reflecting momentum for engagement during the interim government's transition, though no such high-profile trips materialized by March 31.

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$62,005
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 3:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the US military operation in early 2026 that removed Nicolás Maduro from power, diplomatic ties rapidly thawed, with the US and Venezuela agreeing in March to restore full relations and reopening the embassy in Caracas on March 30—just before the market deadline. US charge d'affaires Laura Dogu arrived in February to spearhead normalization, while business delegations from Wall Street firms scouted energy and infrastructure opportunities in late March, hosted by acting president Delcy Rodríguez. These developments drove trader sentiment toward Trump administration figures like Richard Grenell, Marco Rubio, and Pete Hegseth as likely visitors, reflecting momentum for engagement during the interim government's transition, though no such high-profile trips materialized by March 31.

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$62,005
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 3:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John Ratcliffe" at 100%, followed by "Charles Myers" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?" has generated $62K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?" is "John Ratcliffe" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Charles Myers" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.