Market icon

Who will Trump talk to in March?

Market icon

Who will Trump talk to in March?

$1,783,174 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,783,174 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Mark Rutte

$115,803 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Xi Jinping

$1,444,414 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mohammed bin Salman

$19,620 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a slim possibility for President Trump conversing with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte at around 9%, driven by Rutte's late-March Fox News interview claiming multiple recent talks amid U.S. criticism of alliance support during the Iran conflict, prompting ongoing market disputes and U.S. Market Integrity Committee review based on credible reporting standards. Lower odds for others—Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (7%), Iran's Masoud Pezeshkian (2%), Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro (<1%), and China's Xi Jinping (<1%)—reflect no confirmed direct interactions despite Trump's March 10 Fox News remarks openness to Iran dialogue, Strait of Hormuz tensions, and de-escalation signals like his March 31 expectation of U.S. withdrawal from Iran in weeks. Resolution awaits verification of verbal or in-person exchanges by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,783,174
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final review

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a slim possibility for President Trump conversing with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte at around 9%, driven by Rutte's late-March Fox News interview claiming multiple recent talks amid U.S. criticism of alliance support during the Iran conflict, prompting ongoing market disputes and U.S. Market Integrity Committee review based on credible reporting standards. Lower odds for others—Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (7%), Iran's Masoud Pezeshkian (2%), Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro (<1%), and China's Xi Jinping (<1%)—reflect no confirmed direct interactions despite Trump's March 10 Fox News remarks openness to Iran dialogue, Strait of Hormuz tensions, and de-escalation signals like his March 31 expectation of U.S. withdrawal from Iran in weeks. Resolution awaits verification of verbal or in-person exchanges by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,783,174
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final review

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump talk to in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Friedrich Merz" at 100%, followed by "Maria Corina Machado" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump talk to in March?" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump talk to in March?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump talk to in March?" is "Friedrich Merz" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Maria Corina Machado" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump talk to in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.