Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2025-08-05T17:33:33.863763Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

Rick Rieder 50.4%

Kevin Warsh 31%

Christopher Waller 7.8%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$250,982,730 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Rick Rieder
$8,181,144 Vol.
50%

Kevin Warsh
$9,529,346 Vol.
31%

Christopher Waller
$6,892,888 Vol.
8%

Kevin Hassett
$14,341,957 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$8,560,473 Vol.
2%

Judy Shelton
$8,099,376 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$6,205,067 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$5,997,227 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$4,873,762 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$5,709,295 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,681,914 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$13,164,306 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,367,805 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,193,463 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,868,022 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,025,331 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,313,107 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,234,047 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,347,330 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,128,783 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$10,077,931 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,902,022 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,840,591 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,508,776 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,933,763 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$250,982,730

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder 50.4%

Kevin Warsh 31%

Christopher Waller 7.8%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$250,982,730 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Rick Rieder

$8,181,144 Vol.

50%

Kevin Warsh

$9,529,346 Vol.

31%

Christopher Waller

$6,892,888 Vol.

Kevin Hassett

$14,341,957 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$8,560,473 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$8,099,376 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$6,205,067 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$5,997,227 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$4,873,762 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$5,709,295 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$3,681,914 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$13,164,306 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,367,805 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,193,463 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20,868,022 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,025,331 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,313,107 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,234,047 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,347,330 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,128,783 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10,077,931 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,902,022 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,840,591 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$19,508,776 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,933,763 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$250,982,730

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

51%

Will 51 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

24%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

99%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder
$8,181,144 Vol.
50%

Kevin Warsh
$9,529,346 Vol.
31%

Christopher Waller
$6,892,888 Vol.
8%

Kevin Hassett
$14,341,957 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$8,560,473 Vol.
2%

Judy Shelton
$8,099,376 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$6,205,067 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$5,997,227 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$4,873,762 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$5,709,295 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,681,914 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$13,164,306 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,367,805 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,193,463 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,868,022 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,025,331 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,313,107 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,234,047 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,347,330 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,128,783 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$10,077,931 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,902,022 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,840,591 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,508,776 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,933,763 Vol.
<1%

Market Context