Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$68,053,270 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 56%

Christopher Waller 22.9%

Kevin Warsh 18%

Scott Bessent 1.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$68,053,270
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$68,053,270 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 56%

Christopher Waller 22.9%

Kevin Warsh 18%

Scott Bessent 1.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$3,929,008 Vol.

56%

Christopher Waller

$1,742,079 Vol.

23%

Kevin Warsh

$1,765,852 Vol.

18%

Scott Bessent

$1,305,772 Vol.

2%

Rick Rieder

$1,132,875 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$1,272,573 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,129,933 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,466,572 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,139,131 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,330,594 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,252,377 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$737,343 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$566,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,517,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,136,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,203,590 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,129,259 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,340,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$269,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,489,817 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$9,599,517 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$754,506 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$116,161 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,108,562 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$613,552 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$68,053,270
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.