Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$65,723,569 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 51%

Kevin Warsh 29%

Christopher Waller 15.3%

Scott Bessent 1.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$65,723,569
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$65,723,569 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 51%

Kevin Warsh 29%

Christopher Waller 15.3%

Scott Bessent 1.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$3,493,551 Vol.

51%

Kevin Warsh

$1,590,590 Vol.

29%

Christopher Waller

$1,573,792 Vol.

15%

Scott Bessent

$1,198,798 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$1,166,695 Vol.

1%

Rick Rieder

$1,041,248 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,045,487 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,368,236 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,210,366 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,082,016 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$706,420 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,038,978 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,326,594 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$566,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,514,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,134,077 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,121,726 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,317,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$269,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,486,817 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$8,885,376 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$746,283 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$116,161 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,108,562 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$608,831 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$65,723,569
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.