Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2025-08-05T17:33:33.863Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Kevin Warsh 95.8%

Judy Shelton 3.0%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Michelle Bowman <1%

$478,017,093 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$38,986,758 Vol.

96%

Judy Shelton

$81,953,071 Vol.

Kevin Hassett

$26,992,151 Vol.

<1%

Michelle Bowman

$19,351,358 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$16,663,181 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Waller

$21,840,017 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$17,907,403 Vol.

<1%

Rick Rieder

$23,168,929 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$24,405,111 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$6,232,344 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,593,086 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$21,072,226 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,273,445 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$27,529,159 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,578,280 Vol.

<1%

Scott Bessent

$16,511,861 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,724,734 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$4,257,950 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$17,866,454 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,817,207 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10,771,610 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$21,273,335 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$6,010,446 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$20,825,746 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$23,408,121 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposal

Final dispute

Final

Beware of external links.

Politics·Jerome Powell

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 95.8%

Judy Shelton 3.0%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Michelle Bowman <1%

$478,017,093 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$38,986,758 Vol.

96%

Judy Shelton

$81,953,071 Vol.

Kevin Hassett

$26,992,151 Vol.

<1%

Michelle Bowman

$19,351,358 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$16,663,181 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Waller

$21,840,017 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$17,907,403 Vol.

<1%

Rick Rieder

$23,168,929 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$24,405,111 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$6,232,344 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,593,086 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$21,072,226 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,273,445 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$27,529,159 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,578,280 Vol.

<1%

Scott Bessent

$16,511,861 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,724,734 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$4,257,950 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$17,866,454 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,817,207 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10,771,610 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$21,273,335 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$6,010,446 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$20,825,746 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$23,408,121 Vol.

<1%

Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

27%

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?

63%

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?

69%

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Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

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Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

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