Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$71,656,184 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 26%

Christopher Waller 14.7%

Scott Bessent 2.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$71,656,184
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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$71,656,184 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 26%

Christopher Waller 14.7%

Scott Bessent 2.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,298,183 Vol.

52%

Kevin Warsh

$1,884,918 Vol.

26%

Christopher Waller

$1,917,592 Vol.

15%

Scott Bessent

$1,440,652 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$1,500,482 Vol.

2%

Rick Rieder

$1,218,106 Vol.

2%

David Malpass

$1,201,349 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,625,476 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,355,246 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$761,338 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,206,373 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,217,387 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$654,647 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,337,594 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$569,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,519,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,140,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,266 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$281,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,491,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$11,273,429 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$182,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,125,112 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$71,656,184
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.